Crime and Safety in Tonyrefail
Last updated: 07 Jun 2026
Tonyrefail is among the top 10 safest small towns in the preserved county of Mid Glamorgan, and is the 25th safest overall out of Mid Glamorgan's 68 towns, villages, and cities. The overall crime rate in Tonyrefail in 2026 is 65 crimes per 1,000 people. This compares favourably to Mid Glamorgan's overall crime rate, coming in 7% lower than the Mid Glamorgan rate of 70 per 1,000 daytime population. For England, Wales, and Northern Ireland as a whole, Tonyrefail is the 407th most dangerous small town, and the 2,555th most dangerous location out of all towns, cities, and villages.
In January 2026, Tonyrefail was the worst small town in Mid Glamorgan for robbery, with 2 crimes reported and a crime rate of 0.14 per 1,000 daytime population. February 2026 was also a bad month for Tonyrefail residents, when it was Mid Glamorgan's most dangerous small town for burglary, recording 4 crimes at a rate of 0.27 per 1,000 daytime population.
The most common crimes in Tonyrefail are violence and sexual offences, with 502 offences during 2026, giving a crime rate of 35. This is 0.59% lower than 2025's figure of 505 offences and a difference of 0.45 from 2025's crime rate of 35. Tonyrefail's least common crime is bicycle theft, with 0 offences recorded in 2026.
Tonyrefail 2026 Crime Scorecard
Top 10 Safest
Small Towns, Mid Glamorgan
5% higher, regional crime rate
Wales
10% lower, national crime rate
England, Wales & NI
Local Crime in Context
As of April 2026, the crime rate in Tonyrefail is 5% higher than Wales and 10% lower than the England, Wales & Northern Ireland overall figure.
Tonyrefail Crime Rate Over Time
| Tonyrefail | |
| Wales | |
| England, Wales & NI |
Tonyrefail Crime Map
Incidents mapped in Tonyrefail represent the time frame between January 2016 and April 2026. Each point on the map represents an area where crimes have been recorded locally.
Use Crime Map
Hover over a point to see a breakdown of crime types recorded at that location. You can also filter by individual crime types, or use a combinations of offences to visualise the data you need.
See How Tonyrefail Compares
You can compare Tonyrefail's crime statistics against any other town, village, or city from across the country. Search for a location's name below to see how they stack up.
Introduction to Tonyrefail's crime statistics
This crime profile provides a detailed view of crime and safety around Tonyrefail up to April 2026, the most recent data release available. The crime figures and statistics have been calculated across each of Tonyrefail's 227 postcodes using three area sizes for comparison:
- Within a Five-Minute Walk
- Within a Ten-Minute Walk
- Within a Fifteen-Minute Walk
Individual crime risk scores and index figures are for the 12-month period ending April 2026 unless otherwise stated.
CrimeRate Insights
Looking into a specific address in Tonyrefail? CrimeRate Insights reports convert raw numbers into practical insight for any location, from single addresses and postcodes, up to major towns and cities.
Crime rates don’t happen by themselves; they follow people and patterns. Where crowds gather - near pubs and late-night venues, around the station, by supermarkets and forecourts - incidents naturally concentrate.
That doesn’t mean an area is "bad"; it usually means footfall is higher.
Your report explores these factors in a calm, non-judgemental way, putting the numbers in context and helping you spot what’s typical for places like this.
Crime Risk Scores
Tonyrefail • 12 Months Ending April 2026
The typical five-minute walk within Tonyrefail has a crime risk score of 568. This is based on analysis of 227 nearby areas within Tonyrefail, with "most" referring to roughly two thirds of the nearby locations.
Crime risk scores are on a scale of 1 to 1,000 and consider the severity of the crimes involved, as determined by sentencing guidelines. A score of 1 represents the lowest risk, and 1,000 the highest risk. This approach ensures that - unlike overall crime rate figures - bicycle theft is not given the same importance in Tonyrefail's risk scores as, for example, robbery, or violence & sexual offences.
Within a five-minute walk of the typical location in Tonyrefail, crime risk scores are typically around 568, while in Mid Glamorgan they are average 604.
Areas within a ten-minute walk typically see crime risk scores of 670 (672 for Mid Glamorgan), and scores within a fifteen-minute walk are most often around 747 (Mid Glamorgan 722).
Trends in Crime Risk
Tonyrefail
Calculated via Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess, the Seasonality Adjusted line represents the original data with seasonality subtracted, and the Trend line has been plotted unadjusted. Overall trend direction has been identified using the Mann-Kendall trend test, and rate calculated from the slope of the best-fit line identified from linear regression.
No trend could be found in Tonyrefail's crime risk scores over the last 10 years, and the trend may well be static.
Looking at the previous five years, the trend in Tonyrefail's crime risk score is up by 1.1%. While potentially a good indicator of the overall risk trend, cross-referencing with major cultural events and Covid's impact during this time is advised.
Over the last year, Tonyrefail's crime risk score has shown a downward trend of approximately 0.54%, indicating that the risk profile is going down. This is an extremely short time period for crime trend analysis, and caution should be exercised when interpreting this figure.
Crime Rates and Indexes
Tonyrefail
The CrimeRate Index shows how crime rates compare against the national average.
1.0 equals the average
2.0 is double
3.0 triple
0.5 is half and
0.25 a quarter.
Highest Crime Rates
Tonyrefail • 12 Months Ending April 2026
Excluding other crime and other theft because their geographic location is often not relevant, anti-social behaviour as its definition is too wide, and bicycle theft for its specificity.
Public Order offences have a crime rate of 7.71 reports per 1,000 people in Tonyrefail, which is 1.33 times the national average. This figure is calculated from 112 crime reports logged by South Wales Police during the 12-month period ending April 2026.
For the same period, South Wales Police recorded 6 reports of Possession of Weapons in Tonyrefail, resulting in a crime rate of 0.42 reports per 1,000, and a CrimeRate Index of 1.20.
The crime rate for Violence and Sexual Offences is 1.14 times the national average at 35 reports per 1,000. This is from 502 crime reports reported to South Wales Police.
Most Significant 3-Year Increases in Crime Types
Tonyrefail
Excluding other crime and other theft, anti-social behaviour, and bicycle theft, and calculated with the same STL method described in Trends in Crime Risk, using CrimeRate Index figures to identify crime types that are trending above or below the national average, and the analysis timeframe limited to the last three years.
Drugs offences are trending upwards, though the CrimeRate Index three years ago is too low to measure, and the trend should be reviewed with caution.
Criminal Damage and Arson offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.13 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Criminal Damage and Arson CrimeRate Index was 0.68 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 66% over this timeframe.
Burglary offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 0.83 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Burglary CrimeRate Index was 0.47 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 77% over this timeframe.
Most Significant 3-Year Decreases in Crime Types
Tonyrefail
Calculated with the same methodology as the largest increases section above.
No significant decreases identified.
Crime Type Breakdown & Heat Map
Tonyrefail • 12 Months Ending April 2026
Size and colour reflect the CrimeRate Index figures for each type of crime.
Tonyrefail | Mid Glamorgan | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime Type | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| Anti-Social Behaviour | 85 | 5.84 | 0.44 | 5,070 | 10.43 | 0.74 | 37,683 | 10.96 | 0.78 |
| Bicycle Theft | - | - | - | 73 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 1,599 | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| Burglary | 30 | 2.08 | 0.72 | 890 | 1.85 | 0.59 | 6,704 | 1.94 | 0.62 |
| Criminal Damage and Arson | 93 | 6.42 | 1.02 | 3,054 | 6.30 | 1.00 | 21,045 | 6.12 | 0.97 |
| Drugs | 26 | 1.81 | 0.64 | 1,068 | 2.20 | 0.71 | 7,344 | 2.14 | 0.69 |
| Other Crime | 40 | 2.78 | 1.50 | 1,101 | 2.28 | 1.23 | 6,008 | 1.76 | 0.95 |
| Other Theft | 68 | 4.70 | 0.83 | 1,799 | 3.70 | 0.65 | 13,307 | 3.88 | 0.68 |
| Possession of Weapons | 6 | 0.42 | 1.20 | 318 | 0.65 | 0.76 | 2,296 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| Public Order | 112 | 7.71 | 1.33 | 4,474 | 9.20 | 1.59 | 23,747 | 6.91 | 1.19 |
| Robbery | 5 | 0.35 | 0.87 | 190 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 1,461 | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| Shoplifting | 26 | 1.82 | 0.31 | 2,497 | 5.15 | 0.72 | 19,180 | 5.58 | 0.78 |
| Theft From the Person | 1 | 0.07 | 0.54 | 156 | 0.32 | 0.21 | 1,019 | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| Vehicle Crime | 28 | 1.95 | 0.49 | 1,448 | 2.98 | 0.69 | 8,617 | 2.52 | 0.59 |
| Violence and Sexual Offences | 502 | 34.62 | 1.14 | 16,776 | 34.54 | 1.14 | 99,099 | 28.83 | 0.95 |
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Total Crime by Year
Tonyrefail | Mid Glamorgan | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| 2026 | 937 | 64.73 | 0.97 | 33,844 | 69.72 | 0.97 | 211,426 | 61.53 | 0.85 |
| 2025 | 988 | 69.02 | 1.03 | 33,650 | 69.56 | 0.94 | 257,229 | 75.28 | 1.02 |
| 2024 | 905 | 63.92 | 0.93 | 35,739 | 74.23 | 0.98 | 238,672 | 70.43 | 0.93 |
| 2023 | 694 | 49.73 | 0.68 | 32,332 | 67.70 | 0.86 | 255,615 | 75.95 | 0.96 |
| 2022 | 821 | 59.65 | 0.86 | 32,269 | 68.35 | 0.89 | 245,565 | 73.85 | 0.96 |
| 2021 | 771 | 56.41 | 0.89 | 30,235 | 64.31 | 0.94 | 217,266 | 65.68 | 0.96 |
| 2020 | 815 | 60.04 | 0.89 | 32,843 | 70.14 | 0.95 | 237,502 | 72.15 | 0.97 |
| 2019 | 754 | 55.95 | 0.84 | 33,809 | 72.53 | 0.95 | 244,905 | 74.66 | 0.98 |
| 2018 | 614 | 45.64 | 0.72 | 31,183 | 67.04 | 0.94 | 218,341 | 66.57 | 0.94 |
| 2017 | 665 | 49.96 | 0.89 | 30,274 | 65.34 | 1.02 | 199,059 | 60.80 | 0.95 |
| 2016 | 227 | 17.17 | 0.95 | 9,353 | 20.22 | 1.06 | 61,849 | 18.94 | 0.99 |
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Tonyrefail Compared to Nearby Small Towns
12 Months Ending Apr 2026
| Small Town | Total Crimes | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyfarthfa | 795 | 89.71 | 39% more dangerous |
| Aberaman | 412 | 74.88 | 16% more dangerous |
| Maesteg | 1,496 | 86.30 | 33% more dangerous |
| Cornelly | 532 | 71.53 | 11% more dangerous |
| Aberdare | 2,026 | 81.05 | 25% more dangerous |
| Llanharan | 763 | 70.65 | 9% more dangerous |
| Pyle | 518 | 67.37 | 4.1% more dangerous |
| Treorchy | 536 | 67.41 | 4.1% more dangerous |
| Ogmore Valley | 432 | 53.58 | 17% safer |
| Tonyrefail | 937 | 64.73 | - |
| Llantrisant | 1,025 | 64.76 | 0.05% more dangerous |
| Porthcawl | 1,074 | 64.13 | 0.93% safer |
| Garw Valley | 412 | 51.87 | 20% safer |
| Brackla | 630 | 55.52 | 14% safer |
| Coity Higher | 645 | 51.66 | 20% safer |
| Pencoed | 449 | 41.97 | 35% safer |
| Laleston | 482 | 36.62 | 43% safer |
| Llantwit Fardre | 541 | 32.46 | 50% safer |
| Pont-y-clun | 230 | 26.89 | 58% safer |
Comparing Tonyrefail to the UK's Major Cities
12 Months Ending Apr 2026
| City Name | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|
| Tonyrefail | 64.73 | - |
| Cardiff | 79.55 | 23% more dangerous |
| Newcastle upon Tyne | 82.69 | 28% more dangerous |
| Sheffield | 84.09 | 30% more dangerous |
| Leicester | 97.87 | 51% more dangerous |
| Bristol | 104.64 | 62% more dangerous |
| Birmingham | 105.05 | 62% more dangerous |
| Liverpool | 106.48 | 64% more dangerous |
| Leeds | 107.10 | 65% more dangerous |
| Nottingham | 107.74 | 66% more dangerous |
| Westminster | 125.00 | 93% more dangerous |
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Offences In and Around Tonyrefail's Parks & Leisure Spaces
Limited to spaces in Tonyrefail that are named and have had crimes recorded within their boundaries in the 12 months to Apr 2026.
| Name | ASB | Drugs | Public Order | Robbery | VSO | All Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nant Eirin Allotment | - | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| Prichard Street Allotment | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 4 |
| Mill Street Allotment | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 26 |
| The Avenue Allotment | 3 | 1 | 3 | - | 18 | 12 |
| Tylchawen Terrace Allotment | - | - | - | - | 1 | 0 |
| Pembroke Street Allotment | - | 1 | 2 | - | 5 | 1 |
Recent Crimes in Tonyrefail
The 20 most recent crime reports in Tonyrefail.
| Date | Crime Type | Location | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 2026 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Edmondstown Road | |
| April 2026 | Burglary | On or near The Meadows | |
| April 2026 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Bryngolau | |
| April 2026 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Heol Tyllwyd | |
| April 2026 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Llantrisant Road | |
| April 2026 | Drugs | On or near Wilfried Way | |
| April 2026 | Drugs | On or near Highlands Close | |
| April 2026 | Public order | On or near Elizabeth Street | |
| April 2026 | Public order | On or near Sports/Recreation Area | |
| April 2026 | Public order | On or near Sports/Recreation Area | |
| April 2026 | Public order | On or near Greenmeadow Terrace | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Heol Tyllwyd | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Sports/Recreation Area | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Evergreen Court | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near School Street | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Heol Glannant | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Tylcha Fach | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Heol Pymmer | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Capel Farm | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Weston Road |
Methodology & Data Sources
Tonyrefail Crime Report
Data Sources & Processing
Every month, CrimeRate processes crime reports from data.police.uk, the UK's official provider of open crime report data. Each crime report includes anonymised coordinates, most often "snapped" to the middle of the nearest street, or to the nearest major landmark. The reports also include the month and year the crime was reported, as well as the type of crime.
Data releases on data.police.uk happen once a month, with a two-month delay. This means that, for example, crimes reported in Tonyrefail during June 2026 will typically become available in August 2026. The latest release is for Apr 2026 and was released in Jun 2026. To provide current and historical crime statistics, CrimeRate processed 61,669,232 crime reports for the latest release.
Tonyrefail Data Points
For Tonyrefail, CrimeRate uses the geographic boundaries provided by The Office for National Statistics in the December 2023 release of their Parishes and Non Civil Parished Areas dataset, using the PARNCP23CD column value W04000704.
Due to the 2021 Census being conducted during a UK-wide Coronavirus lockdown, the daytime population figures released so far cannot be relied on for purposes such as comparing crime rates. Instead, CrimeRate uses Tonyrefail's daytime - or "workday" - population of 10,492 from the ONS 2011 Census for calculations throughout the site.
All geographic boundaries use the full resolution - extent of the realm versions where provided to avoid missing crime reports near coastlines and rivers - the banks of the Thames in particular - that would otherwise not be included when using the clipped to the coastline datasets.
Calculating Crime Rates
CrimeRate locates the UK region, county, and town/city/village locality for each crime report, and calculates the crime rate by taking the sum of all crime reports, dividing it by the locality's daytime / "workday" population, and multiplying the result by 1,000 to get the crime rate per 1,000.
Crime Risk Score Calculations
CrimeRate calculates crime counts for local, nearby, and wider areas for every postcode in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The postcodes locations are deduplicated by a process that ensures distinct points are approximately 50 metres apart. This process removes the bias that would otherwise come from counting the same crimes several times in heavily populated areas.
Using a custom algorithm developed in-house, CrimeRate applies a crime severity weighting to each area's crime counts, based on the type of crime reported. This increases or decreases the crime count, or zeroes it out entirely, depending on the crime type. A separate crime severity rate is then calculated, standardised, and scaled to fit the crime risk score range of 1 to 1,000, with 1 being the lowest score, and 1,000 the highest.
Crime risk scores undergo further analysis per town, city, and village plus other areas including police forces and neighbourhoods. CrimeRate uses percentiles to work out the most common range of crime risk scores in each locality. This includes identifying the high and low bounds where approximately 68% of scores fall, and finding the median (50th percentile) for easy reference.
The crime types with a weight of zero are: Anti-Social Behaviour; Bicycle Theft; Other Crime; Other Theft; and Shoplifting. The highest weights to are assigned to Violence & Sexual Offences, and the lowest to Vehicle Crime.
Frequently Asked Questions
Crime in Tonyrefail