Crime and Safety in Paddington, Westminster
Last updated: 07 Jun 2026
The most common crimes in Paddington are violence and sexual offences, with 898 offences during 2026, giving a crime rate of 23. This is 0.22% higher than 2025's figure of 896 offences and a difference of 0.01 from 2025's crime rate of 23. Paddington's least common crimes are possession of weapons, with 33 offences recorded in 2026, an increase of 65% from 2025's figure of 20 crimes.
Paddington 2026 Crime Scorecard
21% lower, borough crime rate
London
37% higher, national crime rate
England, Wales & NI
Local Crime in Context
As of April 2026, the crime rate in Westminster is 21% lower than London and 37% higher than the England, Wales & Northern Ireland overall figure.
Westminster Crime Rate Over Time
| Paddington | |
| Westminster | |
| London |
Paddington Crime Map
Incidents mapped in Paddington represent the time frame between January 2016 and April 2026. Each point on the map represents an area where crimes have been recorded locally.
Use Crime Map
Hover over a point to see a breakdown of crime types recorded at that location. You can also filter by individual crime types, or use a combinations of offences to visualise the data you need.
Introduction to Paddington's crime statistics
This crime profile provides a detailed view of crime and safety around Paddington up to April 2026, the most recent data release available. The crime figures and statistics have been calculated across each of Paddington's 64 postcodes using three area sizes for comparison:
- Within a Five-Minute Walk
- Within a Ten-Minute Walk
- Within a Fifteen-Minute Walk
Individual crime risk scores and index figures are for the 12-month period ending April 2026 unless otherwise stated.
Crime Risk Scores
Paddington • 12 Months Ending April 2026
The typical five-minute walk within Paddington has a crime risk score of 760. This is based on analysis of 64 nearby areas within Paddington, with "most" referring to roughly two thirds of the nearby locations.
Crime risk scores are on a scale of 1 to 1,000 and consider the severity of the crimes involved, as determined by sentencing guidelines. A score of 1 represents the lowest risk, and 1,000 the highest risk. This approach ensures that - unlike overall crime rate figures - bicycle theft is not given the same importance in Paddington's risk scores as, for example, robbery, or violence & sexual offences.
Within a five-minute walk of the typical location in Paddington, crime risk scores are typically around 760, while in Westminster they are average 690.
Areas within a ten-minute walk typically see crime risk scores of 796 (761 for Westminster), and scores within a fifteen-minute walk are most often around 828 (Westminster 804).
Trends in Crime Risk
Paddington
Calculated via Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess, the Seasonality Adjusted line represents the original data with seasonality subtracted, and the Trend line has been plotted unadjusted. Overall trend direction has been identified using the Mann-Kendall trend test, and rate calculated from the slope of the best-fit line identified from linear regression.
No trend could be found in Paddington's crime risk scores over the last 10 years, and the trend may well be static.
Looking at the previous five years, the trend in Paddington's crime risk score is up by 27%. While potentially a good indicator of the overall risk trend, cross-referencing with major cultural events and Covid's impact during this time is advised.
Over the last year, Paddington's crime risk score has shown a downward trend of approximately 0.26%, indicating that the risk profile is going down. This is an extremely short time period for crime trend analysis, and caution should be exercised when interpreting this figure.
Crime Rates and Indexes
Paddington
The CrimeRate Index shows how crime rates compare against the national average.
1.0 equals the average
2.0 is double
3.0 triple
0.5 is half and
0.25 a quarter.
Highest Crime Rates
Paddington • 12 Months Ending April 2026
Excluding other crime and other theft because their geographic location is often not relevant, anti-social behaviour as its definition is too wide, and bicycle theft for its specificity.
Theft From the Person offences have a crime rate of 17 reports per 1,000 people in Paddington, which is 11 times the national average. This figure is calculated from 646 crime reports logged by Metropolitan Police during the 12-month period ending April 2026.
For the same period, Metropolitan Police recorded 144 reports of Robbery in Paddington, resulting in a crime rate of 3.69 reports per 1,000, and a CrimeRate Index of 3.13.
The crime rate for Burglary is 1.80 times the national average at 5.63 reports per 1,000. This is from 220 crime reports reported to Metropolitan Police.
Most Significant 3-Year Increases in Crime Types
Paddington
Excluding other crime and other theft, anti-social behaviour, and bicycle theft, and calculated with the same STL method described in Trends in Crime Risk, using CrimeRate Index figures to identify crime types that are trending above or below the national average, and the analysis timeframe limited to the last three years.
Violence and Sexual Offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 0.75 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Violence and Sexual Offences CrimeRate Index was 0.68 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 10% over this timeframe.
Criminal Damage and Arson offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 0.70 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Criminal Damage and Arson CrimeRate Index was 0.38 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 84% over this timeframe.
Theft From the Person offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 9.50 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Theft From the Person CrimeRate Index was 5.46 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 74% over this timeframe.
Most Significant 3-Year Decreases in Crime Types
Paddington
Calculated with the same methodology as the largest increases section above.
Robbery offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 3.30 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Robbery CrimeRate Index was 3.78 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 13% over this timeframe.
Shoplifting offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.58 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Shoplifting CrimeRate Index was 0.68 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 132% over this timeframe.
Crime Type Breakdown & Heat Map
Paddington • 12 Months Ending April 2026
Size and colour reflect the CrimeRate Index figures for each type of crime.
Paddington | Westminster | London | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime Type | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| Anti-Social Behaviour | 1,023 | 26.22 | 1.86 | 13,374 | 22.23 | 1.57 | 235,985 | 21.68 | 1.53 |
| Bicycle Theft | 116 | 2.98 | 4.08 | 935 | 1.56 | 2.14 | 13,695 | 1.26 | 1.73 |
| Burglary | 220 | 5.63 | 1.80 | 2,618 | 4.36 | 1.39 | 47,359 | 4.34 | 1.39 |
| Criminal Damage and Arson | 198 | 5.07 | 0.81 | 2,216 | 3.68 | 0.59 | 54,098 | 4.99 | 0.79 |
| Drugs | 182 | 4.65 | 1.50 | 2,933 | 4.90 | 1.59 | 53,167 | 4.87 | 1.58 |
| Other Crime | 52 | 1.33 | 0.72 | 487 | 0.79 | 0.43 | 13,008 | 1.19 | 0.64 |
| Other Theft | 753 | 19.28 | 3.39 | 15,647 | 26.00 | 4.57 | 97,452 | 8.97 | 1.58 |
| Possession of Weapons | 33 | 0.85 | 1.10 | 357 | 0.61 | 0.72 | 6,443 | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| Public Order | 219 | 5.60 | 0.97 | 3,643 | 6.06 | 1.04 | 60,049 | 5.52 | 0.95 |
| Robbery | 144 | 3.69 | 3.13 | 2,960 | 4.93 | 4.18 | 30,804 | 2.83 | 2.40 |
| Shoplifting | 211 | 5.40 | 0.76 | 8,025 | 13.34 | 1.87 | 87,976 | 8.09 | 1.13 |
| Theft From the Person | 646 | 16.54 | 11 | 19,993 | 33.21 | 21 | 77,160 | 7.11 | 4.59 |
| Vehicle Crime | 179 | 4.59 | 1.07 | 2,950 | 4.90 | 1.14 | 81,755 | 7.50 | 1.74 |
| Violence and Sexual Offences | 898 | 23.01 | 0.76 | 12,434 | 20.68 | 0.68 | 273,434 | 25.12 | 0.83 |
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Total Crime by Year
Paddington | Westminster | London | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| 2026 | 3,851 | 98.62 | 1.37 | 75,198 | 125.02 | 1.74 | 896,400 | 82.39 | 1.14 |
| 2025 | 3,563 | 94.91 | 1.29 | 84,643 | 140.59 | 1.90 | 896,961 | 83.23 | 1.12 |
| 2024 | 3,834 | 102.20 | 1.36 | 88,968 | 147.25 | 1.95 | 900,986 | 84.38 | 1.12 |
| 2023 | 3,257 | 86.31 | 1.11 | 78,518 | 128.70 | 1.63 | 835,471 | 78.98 | 1.00 |
| 2022 | 2,497 | 68.81 | 0.91 | 58,005 | 94.08 | 1.22 | 795,646 | 75.77 | 0.99 |
| 2021 | 2,294 | 68.57 | 1.01 | 35,055 | 56.33 | 0.82 | 727,983 | 69.09 | 1.01 |
| 2020 | 2,821 | 82.46 | 1.11 | 65,976 | 104.48 | 1.41 | 819,467 | 77.66 | 1.05 |
| 2019 | 2,927 | 85.60 | 1.13 | 68,821 | 108.65 | 1.42 | 849,310 | 80.70 | 1.06 |
| 2018 | 2,685 | 80.63 | 1.14 | 55,337 | 86.22 | 1.21 | 810,063 | 77.08 | 1.08 |
| 2017 | 2,605 | 78.33 | 1.23 | 49,364 | 76.37 | 1.19 | 758,160 | 72.41 | 1.13 |
| 2016 | 767 | 23.01 | 1.21 | 15,072 | 23.30 | 1.22 | 234,565 | 22.42 | 1.18 |
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Paddington Compared to Other Westminster Neighbourhoods
12 Months Ending Apr 2026
| Neighbourhood | Total Crimes | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Westbourne | 1,811 | 101.60 | 3.0% more dangerous |
| Lisson Grove | 2,655 | 109.74 | 11% more dangerous |
| Bayswater | 2,455 | 161.29 | 64% more dangerous |
| Kensington Gardens | 136 | 189.91 | 93% more dangerous |
| Hyde Park | 874 | 704.36 | 614% more dangerous |
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Crime in Westminster