Crime and Safety in Gaer
Last updated: 07 Jun 2026
Gwent Police are behind schedule with their crime data updates.
Please see below for details.
Gaer is among the top 10 safest small towns in the preserved county of Gwent, and is among the top 10 safest overall out of Gwent's 117 towns, villages, and cities. The overall crime rate in Gaer in 2026 is 36 crimes per 1,000 people. This compares poorly to Gwent's overall crime rate, coming in 18% higher than the Gwent rate of 30 per 1,000 daytime population. For England, Wales, and Northern Ireland as a whole, Gaer is among the top 10 safest small towns, and among the top 10 safest locations out of all towns, cities, and villages.
In March 2026, Gaer was the worst small town in Gwent for drugs, with 1 crime reported and a crime rate of 0.11 per 1,000 daytime population. February 2025 was also a bad month for Gaer residents, when it was Gwent's most dangerous small town for vehicle crime, recording 11 crimes at a rate of 1.2 per 1,000 daytime population.
The most common crimes in Gaer are violence and sexual offences, with 135 offences during 2026, giving a crime rate of 14. This is 44% lower than 2025's figure of 239 offences and a difference of 11.09 from 2025's crime rate of 26. Gaer's least common crime is theft from the person, with 0 offences recorded in 2026, a decrease of 0% from 2025's figure of 2 crimes.
Gaer 2026 Crime Scorecard
Top 10 Safest
Small Towns, Gwent
42% lower, regional crime rate
Wales
50% lower, national crime rate
England, Wales & NI
Local Crime in Context
As of August 2025, the crime rate in Gaer is 42% lower than Wales and 50% lower than the England, Wales & Northern Ireland overall figure.
Gaer Crime Rate Over Time
| Gaer | |
| Wales | |
| England, Wales & NI |
Gaer Crime Map
Incidents mapped in Gaer represent the time frame between January 2016 and August 2025. Each point on the map represents an area where crimes have been recorded locally.
Use Crime Map
Hover over a point to see a breakdown of crime types recorded at that location. You can also filter by individual crime types, or use a combinations of offences to visualise the data you need.
See How Gaer Compares
You can compare Gaer's crime statistics against any other town, village, or city from across the country. Search for a location's name below to see how they stack up.
Crime data status: caution advised
Gwent Police are behind schedule with their crime data updates, and the most recent data on data.police.uk for Gwent Police is for August 2025.
The most recent month for all other forces is April 2026. This affects all platforms, systems, and users that rely on data.police.uk.
We advise exercising caution with statistics for areas within Gwent Police's boundaries, particularly if comparing against areas with more recent data, until Gwent Police are back on schedule.
Crime data on data.police.uk is typically updated once per month, and includes new data with a two-month delay.
Introduction to Gaer's crime statistics
This crime profile provides a detailed view of crime and safety around Gaer up to August 2025, the most recent data release available. The crime figures and statistics have been calculated across each of Gaer's 175 postcodes using three area sizes for comparison:
- Within a Five-Minute Walk
- Within a Ten-Minute Walk
- Within a Fifteen-Minute Walk
Individual crime risk scores and index figures are for the 12-month period ending August 2025 unless otherwise stated.
CrimeRate Insights
Looking into a specific address in Gaer? CrimeRate Insights reports convert raw numbers into practical insight for any location, from single addresses and postcodes, up to major towns and cities.
Crime rates don’t happen by themselves; they follow people and patterns. Where crowds gather - near pubs and late-night venues, around the station, by supermarkets and forecourts - incidents naturally concentrate.
That doesn’t mean an area is "bad"; it usually means footfall is higher.
Your report explores these factors in a calm, non-judgemental way, putting the numbers in context and helping you spot what’s typical for places like this.
Crime Risk Scores
Gaer • 12 Months Ending August 2025
The typical five-minute walk within Gaer has a crime risk score of 746. This is based on analysis of 175 nearby areas within Gaer, with "most" referring to roughly two thirds of the nearby locations.
Crime risk scores are on a scale of 1 to 1,000 and consider the severity of the crimes involved, as determined by sentencing guidelines. A score of 1 represents the lowest risk, and 1,000 the highest risk. This approach ensures that - unlike overall crime rate figures - bicycle theft is not given the same importance in Gaer's risk scores as, for example, robbery, or violence & sexual offences.
Within a five-minute walk of the typical location in Gaer, crime risk scores are typically around 746, while in Gwent they are average 675.
Areas within a ten-minute walk typically see crime risk scores of 820 (709 for Gwent), and scores within a fifteen-minute walk are most often around 855 (Gwent 733).
Trends in Crime Risk
Gaer
Calculated via Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess, the Seasonality Adjusted line represents the original data with seasonality subtracted, and the Trend line has been plotted unadjusted. Overall trend direction has been identified using the Mann-Kendall trend test, and rate calculated from the slope of the best-fit line identified from linear regression.
The 10-year trend indicates an increase of 98% in Gaer's crime risk score. This is potentially a strong signal of how the crime risk is evolving. Cross-referencing with major cultural events and Covid's impact during this time is advised.
Looking at the previous five years, the trend in Gaer's crime risk score is up by 98%. While potentially a good indicator of the overall risk trend, analysis may offer further insight when combined with the checks mentioned above.
Over the last year, Gaer's crime risk score has shown a downward trend of approximately 98%, indicating that the risk profile is going down. This is an extremely short time period for crime trend analysis, and caution should be exercised when interpreting this figure.
Crime Rates and Indexes
Gaer
The CrimeRate Index shows how crime rates compare against the national average.
1.0 equals the average
2.0 is double
3.0 triple
0.5 is half and
0.25 a quarter.
Highest Crime Rates
Gaer • 12 Months Ending August 2025
Excluding other crime and other theft because their geographic location is often not relevant, anti-social behaviour as its definition is too wide, and bicycle theft for its specificity.
Public Order offences have a crime rate of 14 reports per 1,000 people in Gaer, which is 2.28 times the national average. This figure is calculated from 129 crime reports logged by Gwent Police during the 12-month period ending August 2025.
For the same period, Gwent Police recorded 118 reports of Criminal Damage and Arson in Gaer, resulting in a crime rate of 13 reports per 1,000, and a CrimeRate Index of 1.91.
The crime rate for Possession of Weapons is 1.88 times the national average at 0.98 reports per 1,000. This is from 9 crime reports reported to Gwent Police.
Most Significant 3-Year Increases in Crime Types
Gaer
Excluding other crime and other theft, anti-social behaviour, and bicycle theft, and calculated with the same STL method described in Trends in Crime Risk, using CrimeRate Index figures to identify crime types that are trending above or below the national average, and the analysis timeframe limited to the last three years.
Criminal Damage and Arson offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.14 for the month of March 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Criminal Damage and Arson CrimeRate Index was 0.18 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 533% over this timeframe.
Burglary offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.23 for the month of March 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Burglary CrimeRate Index was 1.69 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 27% over this timeframe.
Public Order offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.98 for the month of March 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Public Order CrimeRate Index was 1.90 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 4.2% over this timeframe.
Most Significant 3-Year Decreases in Crime Types
Gaer
Calculated with the same methodology as the largest increases section above.
Violence and Sexual Offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.10 for the month of March 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Violence and Sexual Offences CrimeRate Index was 1.44 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 24% over this timeframe.
Crime Type Breakdown & Heat Map
Gaer • 12 Months Ending August 2025
Size and colour reflect the CrimeRate Index figures for each type of crime.
Gaer | Gwent | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime Type | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| Anti-Social Behaviour | 199 | 21.26 | 1.47 | 12,174 | 18.74 | 1.30 | 46,290 | 13.54 | 0.94 |
| Bicycle Theft | 13 | 1.38 | 2.51 | 271 | 0.42 | 0.52 | 2,050 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| Burglary | 38 | 4.05 | 1.28 | 2,226 | 3.43 | 1.00 | 9,284 | 2.72 | 0.80 |
| Criminal Damage and Arson | 118 | 12.57 | 1.91 | 6,863 | 10.55 | 1.61 | 26,194 | 7.66 | 1.17 |
| Drugs | 24 | 2.56 | 1.00 | 1,653 | 2.53 | 0.89 | 8,717 | 2.55 | 0.90 |
| Other Crime | 39 | 4.16 | 2.58 | 1,701 | 2.62 | 1.35 | 7,399 | 2.17 | 1.12 |
| Other Theft | 62 | 6.60 | 1.09 | 3,786 | 5.83 | 0.96 | 16,534 | 4.83 | 0.80 |
| Possession of Weapons | 9 | 0.98 | 1.88 | 581 | 0.90 | 1.13 | 2,434 | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Public Order | 129 | 13.78 | 2.28 | 7,517 | 11.58 | 1.91 | 29,768 | 8.73 | 1.44 |
| Robbery | 8 | 0.86 | 1.56 | 326 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 1,153 | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| Shoplifting | 127 | 13.56 | 1.81 | 4,892 | 7.53 | 1.01 | 24,355 | 7.12 | 0.95 |
| Theft From the Person | 4 | 0.44 | 0.70 | 186 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 1,491 | 0.42 | 0.22 |
| Vehicle Crime | 53 | 5.67 | 1.17 | 2,758 | 4.25 | 0.88 | 11,040 | 3.24 | 0.67 |
| Violence and Sexual Offences | 365 | 38.96 | 1.29 | 25,809 | 39.74 | 1.31 | 116,810 | 34.21 | 1.13 |
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Total Crime by Year
Gaer | Gwent | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| 2025 | 989 | 105.57 | 1.49 | 58,569 | 90.17 | 1.22 | 257,229 | 75.28 | 1.02 |
| 2024 | 1,004 | 107.55 | 1.50 | 53,530 | 82.97 | 1.10 | 238,672 | 70.43 | 0.93 |
| 2023 | 910 | 98.73 | 1.37 | 50,113 | 78.34 | 0.99 | 255,615 | 75.95 | 0.96 |
| 2022 | 775 | 85.25 | 1.22 | 45,569 | 71.98 | 0.94 | 245,565 | 73.85 | 0.96 |
| 2021 | 807 | 88.85 | 1.37 | 41,430 | 65.68 | 0.96 | 217,266 | 65.68 | 0.96 |
| 2020 | 805 | 88.82 | 1.32 | 46,932 | 74.67 | 1.01 | 237,502 | 72.15 | 0.97 |
| 2019 | 748 | 83.30 | 1.17 | 49,113 | 78.20 | 1.03 | 244,905 | 74.66 | 0.98 |
| 2018 | 734 | 81.94 | 1.24 | 40,466 | 64.64 | 0.91 | 218,341 | 66.57 | 0.94 |
| 2017 | 667 | 74.91 | 1.37 | 37,689 | 60.33 | 0.94 | 199,059 | 60.80 | 0.95 |
| 2016 | 238 | 26.85 | 1.50 | 12,388 | 19.84 | 1.04 | 61,849 | 18.94 | 0.99 |
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Gaer Compared to Nearby Small Towns
12 Months Ending Aug 2025
| Small Town | Total Crimes | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackwood | 368 | 42.19 | 18% more dangerous |
| Ringland | 361 | 39.98 | 12% more dangerous |
| Rhymney | 393 | 44.31 | 24% more dangerous |
| Bettws | 316 | 36.97 | 3.6% more dangerous |
| Abertillery | 463 | 40.16 | 13% more dangerous |
| Gaer | 334 | 35.68 | - |
| Tredegar | 635 | 41.49 | 16% more dangerous |
| Nantyglo and Blaina | 312 | 32.89 | 8% safer |
| Liswerry | 612 | 41.79 | 17% more dangerous |
| Victoria | 332 | 31.41 | 12% safer |
| Alway | 278 | 32.32 | 9% safer |
| Bargoed | 508 | 40.12 | 12% more dangerous |
| St. Julians | 368 | 37.02 | 3.8% more dangerous |
| Abergavenny | 366 | 29.94 | 16% safer |
| Beechwood | 218 | 27.69 | 22% safer |
| Caerphilly | 562 | 30.71 | 14% safer |
Comparing Gaer to the UK's Major Cities
12 Months Ending Aug 2025
| City Name | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|
| Gaer | 35.68 | - |
| Cardiff | 79.55 | 123% more dangerous |
| Newcastle upon Tyne | 82.69 | 132% more dangerous |
| Sheffield | 84.09 | 136% more dangerous |
| Leicester | 97.87 | 174% more dangerous |
| Bristol | 104.64 | 193% more dangerous |
| Birmingham | 105.05 | 194% more dangerous |
| Liverpool | 106.48 | 198% more dangerous |
| Leeds | 107.10 | 200% more dangerous |
| Nottingham | 107.74 | 202% more dangerous |
| Westminster | 125.00 | 250% more dangerous |
CrimeRate Pro
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You can find out more, or get a CrimeRate Insights report that includes further analysis.
Offences In and Around Gaer's Parks & Leisure Spaces
Limited to spaces in Gaer that are named and have had crimes recorded within their boundaries in the 12 months to Aug 2025.
| Name | ASB | Drugs | Public Order | Robbery | VSO | All Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Woollos Cemetery | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 12 |
| Tredegar Park Sports Ground | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | 5 | 3 |
Recent Crimes in Gaer
The 20 most recent crime reports in Gaer.
| Date | Crime Type | Location | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 2026 | Drugs | On or near Scott Close | |
| August 2025 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Sports/Recreation Area | |
| August 2025 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Drinkwater Rise | |
| August 2025 | Burglary | On or near Bassaleg Road | |
| August 2025 | Burglary | On or near Drinkwater Rise | |
| August 2025 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Rupert Brooke Drive | |
| August 2025 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Collins Close | |
| August 2025 | Other theft | On or near Maesglas Road | |
| August 2025 | Other theft | On or near Gaer Park Parade | |
| August 2025 | Public order | On or near Bideford Close | |
| August 2025 | Robbery | On or near Gaer Park Parade | |
| August 2025 | Vehicle crime | On or near Rupert Brooke Drive | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Drinkwater Rise | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Cefn Adda Close | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Cefn Adda Close | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Collins Close | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Drinkwater Rise | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Collins Close | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Maesglas Road | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Shakespeare Crescent |
Methodology & Data Sources
Gaer Crime Report
Data Sources & Processing
Every month, CrimeRate processes crime reports from data.police.uk, the UK's official provider of open crime report data. Each crime report includes anonymised coordinates, most often "snapped" to the middle of the nearest street, or to the nearest major landmark. The reports also include the month and year the crime was reported, as well as the type of crime.
Data releases on data.police.uk happen once a month, with a two-month delay. This means that, for example, crimes reported in Gaer during July 2026 will typically become available in September 2026. The latest release is for Apr 2026 and was released in Jun 2026. To provide current and historical crime statistics, CrimeRate processed 61,669,232 crime reports for the latest release.
Gaer Data Points
For Gaer, CrimeRate uses the geographic boundaries provided by The Office for National Statistics in the December 2023 release of their Parishes and Non Civil Parished Areas dataset, using the PARNCP23CD column value W04000815.
Due to the 2021 Census being conducted during a UK-wide Coronavirus lockdown, the daytime population figures released so far cannot be relied on for purposes such as comparing crime rates. Instead, CrimeRate uses Gaer's daytime - or "workday" - population of 6,721 from the ONS 2011 Census for calculations throughout the site.
All geographic boundaries use the full resolution - extent of the realm versions where provided to avoid missing crime reports near coastlines and rivers - the banks of the Thames in particular - that would otherwise not be included when using the clipped to the coastline datasets.
Calculating Crime Rates
CrimeRate locates the UK region, county, and town/city/village locality for each crime report, and calculates the crime rate by taking the sum of all crime reports, dividing it by the locality's daytime / "workday" population, and multiplying the result by 1,000 to get the crime rate per 1,000.
Crime Risk Score Calculations
CrimeRate calculates crime counts for local, nearby, and wider areas for every postcode in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The postcodes locations are deduplicated by a process that ensures distinct points are approximately 50 metres apart. This process removes the bias that would otherwise come from counting the same crimes several times in heavily populated areas.
Using a custom algorithm developed in-house, CrimeRate applies a crime severity weighting to each area's crime counts, based on the type of crime reported. This increases or decreases the crime count, or zeroes it out entirely, depending on the crime type. A separate crime severity rate is then calculated, standardised, and scaled to fit the crime risk score range of 1 to 1,000, with 1 being the lowest score, and 1,000 the highest.
Crime risk scores undergo further analysis per town, city, and village plus other areas including police forces and neighbourhoods. CrimeRate uses percentiles to work out the most common range of crime risk scores in each locality. This includes identifying the high and low bounds where approximately 68% of scores fall, and finding the median (50th percentile) for easy reference.
The crime types with a weight of zero are: Anti-Social Behaviour; Bicycle Theft; Other Crime; Other Theft; and Shoplifting. The highest weights to are assigned to Violence & Sexual Offences, and the lowest to Vehicle Crime.
Frequently Asked Questions
Crime in Gaer