Crime and Safety in Caldicot
Last updated: 07 Jun 2026
Gwent Police are behind schedule with their crime data updates.
Please see below for details.
Caldicot is among the top 5 safest small towns in the preserved county of Gwent, and is among the top 5 safest overall out of Gwent's 117 towns, villages, and cities. The overall crime rate in Caldicot in 2026 is 25 crimes per 1,000 people. This compares favourably to Gwent's overall crime rate, coming in 17% lower than the Gwent rate of 30 per 1,000 daytime population. For England, Wales, and Northern Ireland as a whole, Caldicot is among the top 5 safest small towns, and among the top 5 safest locations out of all towns, cities, and villages.
In February 2026, Caldicot was the worst small town in Gwent for theft from the person, with 0 crimes reported and a crime rate of 0.00 per 1,000 daytime population. February 2026 was also a bad month for Caldicot residents, when it was Gwent's most dangerous small town for vehicle crime, recording 0 crimes at a rate of 0.00 per 1,000 daytime population.
The most common crimes in Caldicot are violence and sexual offences, with 129 offences during 2026, giving a crime rate of 13. This is 43% lower than 2025's figure of 227 offences and a difference of 9.72 from 2025's crime rate of 23. Caldicot's least common crime is robbery, with 0 offences recorded in 2026.
Caldicot 2026 Crime Scorecard
Top 5 Safest
Small Towns, Gwent
59% lower, regional crime rate
Wales
65% lower, national crime rate
England, Wales & NI
Local Crime in Context
As of August 2025, the crime rate in Caldicot is 59% lower than Wales and 65% lower than the England, Wales & Northern Ireland overall figure.
Caldicot Crime Rate Over Time
| Caldicot | |
| Wales | |
| England, Wales & NI |
Caldicot Crime Map
Incidents mapped in Caldicot represent the time frame between January 2016 and August 2025. Each point on the map represents an area where crimes have been recorded locally.
Use Crime Map
Hover over a point to see a breakdown of crime types recorded at that location. You can also filter by individual crime types, or use a combinations of offences to visualise the data you need.
See How Caldicot Compares
You can compare Caldicot's crime statistics against any other town, village, or city from across the country. Search for a location's name below to see how they stack up.
Crime data status: caution advised
Gwent Police are behind schedule with their crime data updates, and the most recent data on data.police.uk for Gwent Police is for August 2025.
The most recent month for all other forces is April 2026. This affects all platforms, systems, and users that rely on data.police.uk.
We advise exercising caution with statistics for areas within Gwent Police's boundaries, particularly if comparing against areas with more recent data, until Gwent Police are back on schedule.
Crime data on data.police.uk is typically updated once per month, and includes new data with a two-month delay.
Introduction to Caldicot's crime statistics
This crime profile provides a detailed view of crime and safety around Caldicot up to August 2025, the most recent data release available. The crime figures and statistics have been calculated across each of Caldicot's 226 postcodes using three area sizes for comparison:
- Within a Five-Minute Walk
- Within a Ten-Minute Walk
- Within a Fifteen-Minute Walk
Individual crime risk scores and index figures are for the 12-month period ending August 2025 unless otherwise stated.
CrimeRate Insights
Looking into a specific address in Caldicot? CrimeRate Insights reports convert raw numbers into practical insight for any location, from single addresses and postcodes, up to major towns and cities.
Crime rates don’t happen by themselves; they follow people and patterns. Where crowds gather - near pubs and late-night venues, around the station, by supermarkets and forecourts - incidents naturally concentrate.
That doesn’t mean an area is "bad"; it usually means footfall is higher.
Your report explores these factors in a calm, non-judgemental way, putting the numbers in context and helping you spot what’s typical for places like this.
Crime Risk Scores
Caldicot • 12 Months Ending August 2025
The typical five-minute walk within Caldicot has a crime risk score of 527. This is based on analysis of 226 nearby areas within Caldicot, with "most" referring to roughly two thirds of the nearby locations.
Crime risk scores are on a scale of 1 to 1,000 and consider the severity of the crimes involved, as determined by sentencing guidelines. A score of 1 represents the lowest risk, and 1,000 the highest risk. This approach ensures that - unlike overall crime rate figures - bicycle theft is not given the same importance in Caldicot's risk scores as, for example, robbery, or violence & sexual offences.
Within a five-minute walk of the typical location in Caldicot, crime risk scores are typically around 527, while in Gwent they are average 675.
Areas within a ten-minute walk typically see crime risk scores of 586 (709 for Gwent), and scores within a fifteen-minute walk are most often around 569 (Gwent 733).
Trends in Crime Risk
Caldicot
Calculated via Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess, the Seasonality Adjusted line represents the original data with seasonality subtracted, and the Trend line has been plotted unadjusted. Overall trend direction has been identified using the Mann-Kendall trend test, and rate calculated from the slope of the best-fit line identified from linear regression.
The 10-year trend indicates an increase of 71% in Caldicot's crime risk score. This is potentially a strong signal of how the crime risk is evolving. Cross-referencing with major cultural events and Covid's impact during this time is advised.
Looking at the previous five years, the trend in Caldicot's crime risk score is up by 43%. While potentially a good indicator of the overall risk trend, analysis may offer further insight when combined with the checks mentioned above.
Over the last year, Caldicot's crime risk score has shown an upward trend of approximately 19%, indicating that the risk profile is going up. This is an extremely short time period for crime trend analysis, and caution should be exercised when interpreting this figure.
Crime Rates and Indexes
Caldicot
The CrimeRate Index shows how crime rates compare against the national average.
1.0 equals the average
2.0 is double
3.0 triple
0.5 is half and
0.25 a quarter.
Highest Crime Rates
Caldicot • 12 Months Ending August 2025
Excluding other crime and other theft because their geographic location is often not relevant, anti-social behaviour as its definition is too wide, and bicycle theft for its specificity.
Possession of Weapons offences have a crime rate of 0.60 reports per 1,000 people in Caldicot, which is 2.31 times the national average. This figure is calculated from 6 crime reports logged by Gwent Police during the 12-month period ending August 2025.
For the same period, Gwent Police recorded 88 reports of Public Order in Caldicot, resulting in a crime rate of 8.76 reports per 1,000, and a CrimeRate Index of 1.45.
The crime rate for Criminal Damage and Arson is 1.15 times the national average at 7.58 reports per 1,000. This is from 76 crime reports reported to Gwent Police.
Most Significant 3-Year Increases in Crime Types
Caldicot
Excluding other crime and other theft, anti-social behaviour, and bicycle theft, and calculated with the same STL method described in Trends in Crime Risk, using CrimeRate Index figures to identify crime types that are trending above or below the national average, and the analysis timeframe limited to the last three years.
Criminal Damage and Arson offences are trending upwards, though the CrimeRate Index three years ago is too low to measure, and the trend should be reviewed with caution.
Most Significant 3-Year Decreases in Crime Types
Caldicot
Calculated with the same methodology as the largest increases section above.
Public Order offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.46 for the month of February 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Public Order CrimeRate Index was 1.88 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 22% over this timeframe.
Possession of Weapons offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.25 for the month of February 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Possession of Weapons CrimeRate Index was 3.33 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 62% over this timeframe.
Drugs offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 0.38 for the month of February 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Drugs CrimeRate Index was 2.50 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 85% over this timeframe.
Crime Type Breakdown & Heat Map
Caldicot • 12 Months Ending August 2025
Size and colour reflect the CrimeRate Index figures for each type of crime.
Caldicot | Gwent | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime Type | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| Anti-Social Behaviour | 145 | 14.39 | 1.00 | 12,174 | 18.74 | 1.30 | 46,290 | 13.54 | 0.94 |
| Bicycle Theft | 3 | 0.30 | 1.43 | 271 | 0.42 | 0.52 | 2,050 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| Burglary | 24 | 2.40 | 0.82 | 2,226 | 3.43 | 1.00 | 9,284 | 2.72 | 0.80 |
| Criminal Damage and Arson | 76 | 7.58 | 1.15 | 6,863 | 10.55 | 1.61 | 26,194 | 7.66 | 1.17 |
| Drugs | 20 | 2.00 | 0.95 | 1,653 | 2.53 | 0.89 | 8,717 | 2.55 | 0.90 |
| Other Crime | 18 | 1.80 | 1.13 | 1,701 | 2.62 | 1.35 | 7,399 | 2.17 | 1.12 |
| Other Theft | 47 | 4.69 | 0.77 | 3,786 | 5.83 | 0.96 | 16,534 | 4.83 | 0.80 |
| Possession of Weapons | 6 | 0.60 | 2.31 | 581 | 0.90 | 1.13 | 2,434 | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Public Order | 88 | 8.76 | 1.45 | 7,517 | 11.58 | 1.91 | 29,768 | 8.73 | 1.44 |
| Robbery | 3 | 0.30 | 1.11 | 326 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 1,153 | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| Shoplifting | 28 | 2.80 | 0.37 | 4,892 | 7.53 | 1.01 | 24,355 | 7.12 | 0.95 |
| Theft From the Person | 2 | 0.20 | 0.67 | 186 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 1,491 | 0.42 | 0.22 |
| Vehicle Crime | 19 | 1.90 | 0.47 | 2,758 | 4.25 | 0.88 | 11,040 | 3.24 | 0.67 |
| Violence and Sexual Offences | 288 | 28.63 | 0.95 | 25,809 | 39.74 | 1.31 | 116,810 | 34.21 | 1.13 |
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Total Crime by Year
Caldicot | Gwent | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| 2025 | 622 | 61.96 | 0.91 | 58,569 | 90.17 | 1.22 | 257,229 | 75.28 | 1.02 |
| 2024 | 733 | 73.14 | 1.07 | 53,530 | 82.97 | 1.10 | 238,672 | 70.43 | 0.93 |
| 2023 | 689 | 68.80 | 1.01 | 50,113 | 78.34 | 0.99 | 255,615 | 75.95 | 0.96 |
| 2022 | 605 | 60.72 | 0.93 | 45,569 | 71.98 | 0.94 | 245,565 | 73.85 | 0.96 |
| 2021 | 504 | 50.83 | 0.86 | 41,430 | 65.68 | 0.96 | 217,266 | 65.68 | 0.96 |
| 2020 | 444 | 44.84 | 0.72 | 46,932 | 74.67 | 1.01 | 237,502 | 72.15 | 0.97 |
| 2019 | 481 | 48.65 | 0.71 | 49,113 | 78.20 | 1.03 | 244,905 | 74.66 | 0.98 |
| 2018 | 492 | 49.71 | 0.84 | 40,466 | 64.64 | 0.91 | 218,341 | 66.57 | 0.94 |
| 2017 | 366 | 36.82 | 0.72 | 37,689 | 60.33 | 0.94 | 199,059 | 60.80 | 0.95 |
| 2016 | 129 | 12.97 | 0.76 | 12,388 | 19.84 | 1.04 | 61,849 | 18.94 | 0.99 |
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Caldicot Compared to Nearby Small Towns
12 Months Ending Aug 2025
| Small Town | Total Crimes | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panteg | 217 | 28.21 | 12% more dangerous |
| Abergavenny | 366 | 29.94 | 19% more dangerous |
| Beechwood | 218 | 27.69 | 10% more dangerous |
| Caerleon | 211 | 25.75 | 2.5% more dangerous |
| Caldicot | 253 | 25.13 | - |
| Chepstow | 357 | 25.33 | 0.80% more dangerous |
| Malpas | 191 | 25.15 | 0.08% more dangerous |
| Pontllanfraith | 216 | 24.68 | 1.8% safer |
| Monmouth | 303 | 24.65 | 1.9% safer |
| Bedwas, Trethomas and Machen | 287 | 25.00 | 0.52% safer |
| Fairwater | 244 | 24.10 | 4.1% safer |
| Allt-yr-yn | 248 | 21.98 | 13% safer |
| Penyrheol, Trecenydd and Energlyn | 311 | 24.46 | 2.7% safer |
| Gelligaer | 506 | 24.58 | 2.2% safer |
| Rogerstone | 262 | 18.18 | 28% safer |
Comparing Caldicot to the UK's Major Cities
12 Months Ending Aug 2025
| City Name | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|
| Caldicot | 25.13 | - |
| Cardiff | 79.55 | 217% more dangerous |
| Newcastle upon Tyne | 82.69 | 229% more dangerous |
| Sheffield | 84.09 | 235% more dangerous |
| Leicester | 97.87 | 289% more dangerous |
| Bristol | 104.64 | 316% more dangerous |
| Birmingham | 105.05 | 318% more dangerous |
| Liverpool | 106.48 | 324% more dangerous |
| Leeds | 107.10 | 326% more dangerous |
| Nottingham | 107.74 | 329% more dangerous |
| Westminster | 125.00 | 397% more dangerous |
CrimeRate Pro
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You can find out more, or get a CrimeRate Insights report that includes further analysis.
Offences In and Around Caldicot's Parks & Leisure Spaces
Limited to spaces in Caldicot that are named and have had crimes recorded within their boundaries in the 12 months to Aug 2025.
| Name | ASB | Drugs | Public Order | Robbery | VSO | All Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldicot Country Park | 2 | - | - | - | 8 | 5 |
| King George's Field | 19 | 1 | 4 | - | 10 | 11 |
| Caldicot Leisure Centre | 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 4 |
Recent Crimes in Caldicot
The 20 most recent crime reports in Caldicot.
| Date | Crime Type | Location | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Cae Mawr Road | |
| August 2025 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Honddu Close | |
| August 2025 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Usk Close | |
| August 2025 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Chepstow Road | |
| August 2025 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Woodstock Close | |
| August 2025 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Wiesenthal Close | |
| August 2025 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Lon Dywodlyd | |
| August 2025 | Other theft | On or near Park/Open Space | |
| August 2025 | Public order | On or near Chepstow Road | |
| August 2025 | Public order | On or near Wiesenthal Close | |
| August 2025 | Public order | On or near Byron Place | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Estuary View | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Woodland View | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Heol Glaslyn | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Park/Open Space | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Park/Open Space | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Byron Place | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Masefield Road | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Margretts Way | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Wordsworth Close |
Methodology & Data Sources
Caldicot Crime Report
Data Sources & Processing
Every month, CrimeRate processes crime reports from data.police.uk, the UK's official provider of open crime report data. Each crime report includes anonymised coordinates, most often "snapped" to the middle of the nearest street, or to the nearest major landmark. The reports also include the month and year the crime was reported, as well as the type of crime.
Data releases on data.police.uk happen once a month, with a two-month delay. This means that, for example, crimes reported in Caldicot during June 2026 will typically become available in August 2026. The latest release is for Apr 2026 and was released in Jun 2026. To provide current and historical crime statistics, CrimeRate processed 61,669,232 crime reports for the latest release.
Caldicot Data Points
For Caldicot, CrimeRate uses the geographic boundaries provided by The Office for National Statistics in the December 2023 release of their Parishes and Non Civil Parished Areas dataset, using the PARNCP23CD column value W04001059.
Due to the 2021 Census being conducted during a UK-wide Coronavirus lockdown, the daytime population figures released so far cannot be relied on for purposes such as comparing crime rates. Instead, CrimeRate uses Caldicot's daytime - or "workday" - population of 7,858 from the ONS 2011 Census for calculations throughout the site.
All geographic boundaries use the full resolution - extent of the realm versions where provided to avoid missing crime reports near coastlines and rivers - the banks of the Thames in particular - that would otherwise not be included when using the clipped to the coastline datasets.
Calculating Crime Rates
CrimeRate locates the UK region, county, and town/city/village locality for each crime report, and calculates the crime rate by taking the sum of all crime reports, dividing it by the locality's daytime / "workday" population, and multiplying the result by 1,000 to get the crime rate per 1,000.
Crime Risk Score Calculations
CrimeRate calculates crime counts for local, nearby, and wider areas for every postcode in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The postcodes locations are deduplicated by a process that ensures distinct points are approximately 50 metres apart. This process removes the bias that would otherwise come from counting the same crimes several times in heavily populated areas.
Using a custom algorithm developed in-house, CrimeRate applies a crime severity weighting to each area's crime counts, based on the type of crime reported. This increases or decreases the crime count, or zeroes it out entirely, depending on the crime type. A separate crime severity rate is then calculated, standardised, and scaled to fit the crime risk score range of 1 to 1,000, with 1 being the lowest score, and 1,000 the highest.
Crime risk scores undergo further analysis per town, city, and village plus other areas including police forces and neighbourhoods. CrimeRate uses percentiles to work out the most common range of crime risk scores in each locality. This includes identifying the high and low bounds where approximately 68% of scores fall, and finding the median (50th percentile) for easy reference.
The crime types with a weight of zero are: Anti-Social Behaviour; Bicycle Theft; Other Crime; Other Theft; and Shoplifting. The highest weights to are assigned to Violence & Sexual Offences, and the lowest to Vehicle Crime.
Frequently Asked Questions
Crime in Caldicot