Crime and Safety in Caerphilly
Last updated: 07 Jun 2026
Gwent Police are behind schedule with their crime data updates.
Please see below for details.
Caerphilly is the safest small town in the preserved county of Gwent, and is the safest overall out of Gwent's 117 towns, villages, and cities. The overall crime rate in Caerphilly in 2026 is 31 crimes per 1,000 people. This compares poorly to Gwent's overall crime rate, coming in 1.2% higher than the Gwent rate of 30 per 1,000 daytime population. For England, Wales, and Northern Ireland as a whole, Caerphilly is the safest small town, and the safest location out of all towns, cities, and villages.
In September 2025, Caerphilly had the worst crime rate in Gwent for drugs, with 1 crime reported and a crime rate of 0.05 per 1,000 daytime population. December 2025 was also a bad month for Caerphilly residents, when it was Gwent's most dangerous area for burglary, recording 1 crime at a rate of 0.05 per 1,000 daytime population.
The most common crimes in Caerphilly are violence and sexual offences, with 207 offences during 2026, giving a crime rate of 11. This is 49% lower than 2025's figure of 405 offences and a difference of 10.85 from 2025's crime rate of 22. Caerphilly's least common crime is bicycle theft, with 2 offences recorded in 2026, a decrease of 71% from 2025's figure of 7 crimes.
Caerphilly 2026 Crime Scorecard
Safest
Small Towns, Gwent
50% lower, regional crime rate
Wales
57% lower, national crime rate
England, Wales & NI
Local Crime in Context
As of August 2025, the crime rate in Caerphilly is 50% lower than Wales and 57% lower than the England, Wales & Northern Ireland overall figure.
Caerphilly Crime Rate Over Time
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| Wales | |
| England, Wales & NI |
Caerphilly Crime Map
Incidents mapped in Caerphilly represent the time frame between January 2016 and August 2025. Each point on the map represents an area where crimes have been recorded locally.
Use Crime Map
Hover over a point to see a breakdown of crime types recorded at that location. You can also filter by individual crime types, or use a combinations of offences to visualise the data you need.
See How Caerphilly Compares
You can compare Caerphilly's crime statistics against any other town, village, or city from across the country. Search for a location's name below to see how they stack up.
Crime data status: caution advised
Gwent Police are behind schedule with their crime data updates, and the most recent data on data.police.uk for Gwent Police is for August 2025.
The most recent month for all other forces is April 2026. This affects all platforms, systems, and users that rely on data.police.uk.
We advise exercising caution with statistics for areas within Gwent Police's boundaries, particularly if comparing against areas with more recent data, until Gwent Police are back on schedule.
Crime data on data.police.uk is typically updated once per month, and includes new data with a two-month delay.
Introduction to Caerphilly's crime statistics
This crime profile provides a detailed view of crime and safety around Caerphilly up to August 2025, the most recent data release available. The crime figures and statistics have been calculated across each of Caerphilly's 357 postcodes using three area sizes for comparison:
- Within a Five-Minute Walk
- Within a Ten-Minute Walk
- Within a Fifteen-Minute Walk
Individual crime risk scores and index figures are for the 12-month period ending August 2025 unless otherwise stated.
CrimeRate Insights
Looking into a specific address in Caerphilly? CrimeRate Insights reports convert raw numbers into practical insight for any location, from single addresses and postcodes, up to major towns and cities.
Crime rates don’t happen by themselves; they follow people and patterns. Where crowds gather - near pubs and late-night venues, around the station, by supermarkets and forecourts - incidents naturally concentrate.
That doesn’t mean an area is "bad"; it usually means footfall is higher.
Your report explores these factors in a calm, non-judgemental way, putting the numbers in context and helping you spot what’s typical for places like this.
Crime Risk Scores
Caerphilly • 12 Months Ending August 2025
The typical five-minute walk within Caerphilly has a crime risk score of 636. This is based on analysis of 357 nearby areas within Caerphilly, with "most" referring to roughly two thirds of the nearby locations.
Crime risk scores are on a scale of 1 to 1,000 and consider the severity of the crimes involved, as determined by sentencing guidelines. A score of 1 represents the lowest risk, and 1,000 the highest risk. This approach ensures that - unlike overall crime rate figures - bicycle theft is not given the same importance in Caerphilly's risk scores as, for example, robbery, or violence & sexual offences.
Within a five-minute walk of the typical location in Caerphilly, crime risk scores are typically around 636, while in Gwent they are average 675.
Areas within a ten-minute walk typically see crime risk scores of 748 (709 for Gwent), and scores within a fifteen-minute walk are most often around 818 (Gwent 733).
Trends in Crime Risk
Caerphilly
Calculated via Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess, the Seasonality Adjusted line represents the original data with seasonality subtracted, and the Trend line has been plotted unadjusted. Overall trend direction has been identified using the Mann-Kendall trend test, and rate calculated from the slope of the best-fit line identified from linear regression.
The 10-year trend indicates an increase of 2.0% in Caerphilly's crime risk score. This is potentially a strong signal of how the crime risk is evolving. Cross-referencing with major cultural events and Covid's impact during this time is advised.
Looking at the previous five years, the trend in Caerphilly's crime risk score is up by 10%. While potentially a good indicator of the overall risk trend, analysis may offer further insight when combined with the checks mentioned above.
Over the last year, Caerphilly's crime risk score has shown a downward trend of approximately 16%, indicating that the risk profile is going down. This is an extremely short time period for crime trend analysis, and caution should be exercised when interpreting this figure.
Crime Rates and Indexes
Caerphilly
The CrimeRate Index shows how crime rates compare against the national average.
1.0 equals the average
2.0 is double
3.0 triple
0.5 is half and
0.25 a quarter.
Highest Crime Rates
Caerphilly • 12 Months Ending August 2025
Excluding other crime and other theft because their geographic location is often not relevant, anti-social behaviour as its definition is too wide, and bicycle theft for its specificity.
Public Order offences have a crime rate of 12 reports per 1,000 people in Caerphilly, which is 2.03 times the national average. This figure is calculated from 224 crime reports logged by Gwent Police during the 12-month period ending August 2025.
For the same period, Gwent Police recorded 242 reports of Shoplifting in Caerphilly, resulting in a crime rate of 13 reports per 1,000, and a CrimeRate Index of 1.77.
The crime rate for Criminal Damage and Arson is 1.75 times the national average at 12 reports per 1,000. This is from 210 crime reports reported to Gwent Police.
Most Significant 3-Year Increases in Crime Types
Caerphilly
Excluding other crime and other theft, anti-social behaviour, and bicycle theft, and calculated with the same STL method described in Trends in Crime Risk, using CrimeRate Index figures to identify crime types that are trending above or below the national average, and the analysis timeframe limited to the last three years.
Burglary offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 0.19 for the month of March 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Burglary CrimeRate Index was 0.65 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 71% over this timeframe.
Criminal Damage and Arson offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 0.10 for the month of March 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Criminal Damage and Arson CrimeRate Index was 0.18 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 44% over this timeframe.
Public Order offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 0.12 for the month of March 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Public Order CrimeRate Index was 0.61 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 80% over this timeframe.
Most Significant 3-Year Decreases in Crime Types
Caerphilly
Calculated with the same methodology as the largest increases section above.
Theft From the Person offences are trending downwards, though the CrimeRate Index three years ago is too low to measure, and the trend should be reviewed with caution.
Shoplifting offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 0.09 for the month of March 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Shoplifting CrimeRate Index was 2.38 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 96% over this timeframe.
Vehicle Crime offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of - for the month of March 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Vehicle Crime CrimeRate Index was 1.06 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a near-complete decrease over this timeframe.
Crime Type Breakdown & Heat Map
Caerphilly • 12 Months Ending August 2025
Size and colour reflect the CrimeRate Index figures for each type of crime.
Caerphilly | Gwent | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime Type | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| Anti-Social Behaviour | 335 | 18.34 | 1.27 | 12,174 | 18.74 | 1.30 | 46,290 | 13.54 | 0.94 |
| Bicycle Theft | 9 | 0.48 | 1.20 | 271 | 0.42 | 0.52 | 2,050 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| Burglary | 50 | 2.71 | 0.96 | 2,226 | 3.43 | 1.00 | 9,284 | 2.72 | 0.80 |
| Criminal Damage and Arson | 210 | 11.51 | 1.75 | 6,863 | 10.55 | 1.61 | 26,194 | 7.66 | 1.17 |
| Drugs | 45 | 2.45 | 0.87 | 1,653 | 2.53 | 0.89 | 8,717 | 2.55 | 0.90 |
| Other Crime | 32 | 1.73 | 0.89 | 1,701 | 2.62 | 1.35 | 7,399 | 2.17 | 1.12 |
| Other Theft | 131 | 7.18 | 1.18 | 3,786 | 5.83 | 0.96 | 16,534 | 4.83 | 0.80 |
| Possession of Weapons | 19 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 581 | 0.90 | 1.13 | 2,434 | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Public Order | 224 | 12.28 | 2.03 | 7,517 | 11.58 | 1.91 | 29,768 | 8.73 | 1.44 |
| Robbery | 6 | 0.32 | 0.89 | 326 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 1,153 | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| Shoplifting | 242 | 13.25 | 1.77 | 4,892 | 7.53 | 1.01 | 24,355 | 7.12 | 0.95 |
| Theft From the Person | 4 | 0.21 | 0.45 | 186 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 1,491 | 0.42 | 0.22 |
| Vehicle Crime | 60 | 3.27 | 0.68 | 2,758 | 4.25 | 0.88 | 11,040 | 3.24 | 0.67 |
| Violence and Sexual Offences | 690 | 37.79 | 1.25 | 25,809 | 39.74 | 1.31 | 116,810 | 34.21 | 1.13 |
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Total Crime by Year
Caerphilly | Gwent | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| 2025 | 1,722 | 94.18 | 1.33 | 58,569 | 90.17 | 1.22 | 257,229 | 75.28 | 1.02 |
| 2024 | 1,472 | 80.34 | 1.11 | 53,530 | 82.97 | 1.10 | 238,672 | 70.43 | 0.93 |
| 2023 | 1,358 | 74.17 | 1.01 | 50,113 | 78.34 | 0.99 | 255,615 | 75.95 | 0.96 |
| 2022 | 1,023 | 56.52 | 0.78 | 45,569 | 71.98 | 0.94 | 245,565 | 73.85 | 0.96 |
| 2021 | 966 | 53.56 | 0.83 | 41,430 | 65.68 | 0.96 | 217,266 | 65.68 | 0.96 |
| 2020 | 1,324 | 73.49 | 1.04 | 46,932 | 74.67 | 1.01 | 237,502 | 72.15 | 0.97 |
| 2019 | 1,200 | 66.57 | 0.92 | 49,113 | 78.20 | 1.03 | 244,905 | 74.66 | 0.98 |
| 2018 | 1,059 | 59.06 | 0.87 | 40,466 | 64.64 | 0.91 | 218,341 | 66.57 | 0.94 |
| 2017 | 1,010 | 56.32 | 1.00 | 37,689 | 60.33 | 0.94 | 199,059 | 60.80 | 0.95 |
| 2016 | 351 | 19.57 | 1.07 | 12,388 | 19.84 | 1.04 | 61,849 | 18.94 | 0.99 |
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Caerphilly Compared to Nearby Small Towns
12 Months Ending Aug 2025
| Small Town | Total Crimes | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackwood | 368 | 42.19 | 37% more dangerous |
| Ringland | 361 | 39.98 | 30% more dangerous |
| Rhymney | 393 | 44.31 | 44% more dangerous |
| Bettws | 316 | 36.97 | 20% more dangerous |
| Abertillery | 463 | 40.16 | 31% more dangerous |
| Gaer | 334 | 35.68 | 16% more dangerous |
| Tredegar | 635 | 41.49 | 35% more dangerous |
| Nantyglo and Blaina | 312 | 32.89 | 7% more dangerous |
| Liswerry | 612 | 41.79 | 36% more dangerous |
| Victoria | 332 | 31.41 | 2.3% more dangerous |
| Alway | 278 | 32.32 | 5% more dangerous |
| Bargoed | 508 | 40.12 | 31% more dangerous |
| St. Julians | 368 | 37.02 | 21% more dangerous |
| Panteg | 217 | 28.21 | 8% safer |
| Abergavenny | 366 | 29.94 | 2.5% safer |
| Beechwood | 218 | 27.69 | 10% safer |
| Caerphilly | 562 | 30.71 | - |
| Monmouth | 303 | 24.65 | 20% safer |
| Fairwater | 244 | 24.10 | 22% safer |
| Penyrheol, Trecenydd and Energlyn | 311 | 24.46 | 20% safer |
| Gelligaer | 506 | 24.58 | 20% safer |
Comparing Caerphilly to the UK's Major Cities
12 Months Ending Aug 2025
| City Name | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|
| Caerphilly | 30.71 | - |
| Cardiff | 79.55 | 159% more dangerous |
| Newcastle upon Tyne | 82.69 | 169% more dangerous |
| Sheffield | 84.09 | 174% more dangerous |
| Leicester | 97.87 | 219% more dangerous |
| Bristol | 104.64 | 241% more dangerous |
| Birmingham | 105.05 | 242% more dangerous |
| Liverpool | 106.48 | 247% more dangerous |
| Leeds | 107.10 | 249% more dangerous |
| Nottingham | 107.74 | 251% more dangerous |
| Westminster | 125.00 | 307% more dangerous |
CrimeRate Pro
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You can find out more, or get a CrimeRate Insights report that includes further analysis.
Offences In and Around Caerphilly's Parks & Leisure Spaces
Limited to spaces in Caerphilly that are named and have had crimes recorded within their boundaries in the 12 months to Aug 2025.
| Name | ASB | Drugs | Public Order | Robbery | VSO | All Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain View Bike Park | - | 1 | - | - | 1 | 1 |
| Pontygwindy Allotment | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Parc Morgan Jones | 9 | - | 3 | - | 11 | 9 |
| Dafydd Williams Park | 10 | 1 | 10 | - | 10 | 5 |
| Caerphilly Van Road Allotments | 1 | - | - | - | 2 | 3 |
Recent Crimes in Caerphilly
The 20 most recent crime reports in Caerphilly.
| Date | Crime Type | Location | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Heol-Y-Nant | |
| December 2025 | Burglary | On or near Parking Area | |
| December 2025 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Dyfed Drive | |
| December 2025 | Public order | On or near Dylan Drive | |
| December 2025 | Shoplifting | On or near Gwaun Y Cwrt | |
| December 2025 | Theft from the person | On or near Dyfed Drive | |
| September 2025 | Drugs | On or near Parking Area | |
| August 2025 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Maes Gwyn | |
| August 2025 | Burglary | On or near St Clears Close | |
| August 2025 | Burglary | On or near Lewis Drive | |
| August 2025 | Burglary | On or near Maes Gwyn | |
| August 2025 | Burglary | On or near St Margaret'S Road | |
| August 2025 | Burglary | On or near Maes Gwyn | |
| August 2025 | Drugs | On or near Tyla Glas | |
| August 2025 | Other theft | On or near Warren Drive | |
| August 2025 | Other theft | On or near Heol Cae Gwyn | |
| August 2025 | Public order | On or near Emanuel Close | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Sports/Recreation Area | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Heol Gledyr | |
| August 2025 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Sports/Recreation Area |
Methodology & Data Sources
Caerphilly Crime Report
Data Sources & Processing
Every month, CrimeRate processes crime reports from data.police.uk, the UK's official provider of open crime report data. Each crime report includes anonymised coordinates, most often "snapped" to the middle of the nearest street, or to the nearest major landmark. The reports also include the month and year the crime was reported, as well as the type of crime.
Data releases on data.police.uk happen once a month, with a two-month delay. This means that, for example, crimes reported in Caerphilly during July 2026 will typically become available in September 2026. The latest release is for Apr 2026 and was released in Jun 2026. To provide current and historical crime statistics, CrimeRate processed 61,669,232 crime reports for the latest release.
Caerphilly Data Points
For Caerphilly, CrimeRate uses the geographic boundaries provided by The Office for National Statistics in the December 2023 release of their Parishes and Non Civil Parished Areas dataset, using the PARNCP23CD column value W04000904.
Due to the 2021 Census being conducted during a UK-wide Coronavirus lockdown, the daytime population figures released so far cannot be relied on for purposes such as comparing crime rates. Instead, CrimeRate uses Caerphilly's daytime - or "workday" - population of 16,518 from the ONS 2011 Census for calculations throughout the site.
All geographic boundaries use the full resolution - extent of the realm versions where provided to avoid missing crime reports near coastlines and rivers - the banks of the Thames in particular - that would otherwise not be included when using the clipped to the coastline datasets.
Calculating Crime Rates
CrimeRate locates the UK region, county, and town/city/village locality for each crime report, and calculates the crime rate by taking the sum of all crime reports, dividing it by the locality's daytime / "workday" population, and multiplying the result by 1,000 to get the crime rate per 1,000.
Crime Risk Score Calculations
CrimeRate calculates crime counts for local, nearby, and wider areas for every postcode in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The postcodes locations are deduplicated by a process that ensures distinct points are approximately 50 metres apart. This process removes the bias that would otherwise come from counting the same crimes several times in heavily populated areas.
Using a custom algorithm developed in-house, CrimeRate applies a crime severity weighting to each area's crime counts, based on the type of crime reported. This increases or decreases the crime count, or zeroes it out entirely, depending on the crime type. A separate crime severity rate is then calculated, standardised, and scaled to fit the crime risk score range of 1 to 1,000, with 1 being the lowest score, and 1,000 the highest.
Crime risk scores undergo further analysis per town, city, and village plus other areas including police forces and neighbourhoods. CrimeRate uses percentiles to work out the most common range of crime risk scores in each locality. This includes identifying the high and low bounds where approximately 68% of scores fall, and finding the median (50th percentile) for easy reference.
The crime types with a weight of zero are: Anti-Social Behaviour; Bicycle Theft; Other Crime; Other Theft; and Shoplifting. The highest weights to are assigned to Violence & Sexual Offences, and the lowest to Vehicle Crime.
Frequently Asked Questions
Crime in Caerphilly