Crime and Safety in Llanelli Rural
Last updated: 07 Jun 2026
Llanelli Rural is the third safest small town in the preserved county of Dyfed, and is the 27th most dangerous overall out of Dyfed's 199 towns, villages, and cities. The overall crime rate in Llanelli Rural in 2026 is 76 crimes per 1,000 people. This compares poorly to Dyfed's overall crime rate, coming in 10% higher than the Dyfed rate of 69 per 1,000 daytime population. For England, Wales, and Northern Ireland as a whole, Llanelli Rural is the 153rd most dangerous small town, and the 1,030th most dangerous location out of all towns, cities, and villages.
In November 2025, Llanelli Rural had the worst crime rate in Dyfed for robbery, with 3 crimes reported and a crime rate of 0.12 per 1,000 daytime population. December 2022 was also a bad month for Llanelli Rural residents, when it was again Dyfed's most dangerous area for robbery, recording 1 crime at a rate of 0.04 per 1,000 daytime population. Llanelli Rural recorded 2 reports of theft from the person during March 2021, making its crime rate of 0.08 the worst for theft from the person in Dyfed that month.
The most common crimes in Llanelli Rural are violence and sexual offences, with 959 offences during 2026, giving a crime rate of 39. This is 3.0% higher than 2025's figure of 931 offences and a difference of 1.05 from 2025's crime rate of 38. Llanelli Rural's least common crime is bicycle theft, with 6 offences recorded in 2026, the same as 2025's figure of 6 crimes.
Llanelli Rural 2026 Crime Scorecard
Third Safest
Small Towns, Dyfed
23% higher, regional crime rate
Wales
5% higher, national crime rate
England, Wales & NI
Local Crime in Context
As of April 2026, the crime rate in Llanelli Rural is 23% higher than Wales and 5% higher than the England, Wales & Northern Ireland overall figure.
Llanelli Rural Crime Rate Over Time
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| Wales | |
| England, Wales & NI |
Llanelli Rural Crime Map
Incidents mapped in Llanelli Rural represent the time frame between January 2016 and April 2026. Each point on the map represents an area where crimes have been recorded locally.
Use Crime Map
Hover over a point to see a breakdown of crime types recorded at that location. You can also filter by individual crime types, or use a combinations of offences to visualise the data you need.
See How Llanelli Rural Compares
You can compare Llanelli Rural's crime statistics against any other town, village, or city from across the country. Search for a location's name below to see how they stack up.
Introduction to Llanelli Rural's crime statistics
This crime profile provides a detailed view of crime and safety around Llanelli Rural up to April 2026, the most recent data release available. The crime figures and statistics have been calculated across each of Llanelli Rural's 597 postcodes using three area sizes for comparison:
- Within a Five-Minute Walk
- Within a Ten-Minute Walk
- Within a Fifteen-Minute Walk
Individual crime risk scores and index figures are for the 12-month period ending April 2026 unless otherwise stated.
CrimeRate Insights
Looking into a specific address in Llanelli Rural? CrimeRate Insights reports convert raw numbers into practical insight for any location, from single addresses and postcodes, up to major towns and cities.
Crime rates don’t happen by themselves; they follow people and patterns. Where crowds gather - near pubs and late-night venues, around the station, by supermarkets and forecourts - incidents naturally concentrate.
That doesn’t mean an area is "bad"; it usually means footfall is higher.
Your report explores these factors in a calm, non-judgemental way, putting the numbers in context and helping you spot what’s typical for places like this.
Crime Risk Scores
Llanelli Rural • 12 Months Ending April 2026
The typical five-minute walk within Llanelli Rural has a crime risk score of 643. This is based on analysis of 597 nearby areas within Llanelli Rural, with "most" referring to roughly two thirds of the nearby locations.
Crime risk scores are on a scale of 1 to 1,000 and consider the severity of the crimes involved, as determined by sentencing guidelines. A score of 1 represents the lowest risk, and 1,000 the highest risk. This approach ensures that - unlike overall crime rate figures - bicycle theft is not given the same importance in Llanelli Rural's risk scores as, for example, robbery, or violence & sexual offences.
Within a five-minute walk of the typical location in Llanelli Rural, crime risk scores are typically around 643, while in Dyfed they are average 693.
Areas within a ten-minute walk typically see crime risk scores of 686 (702 for Dyfed), and scores within a fifteen-minute walk are most often around 713 (Dyfed 715).
Trends in Crime Risk
Llanelli Rural
Calculated via Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess, the Seasonality Adjusted line represents the original data with seasonality subtracted, and the Trend line has been plotted unadjusted. Overall trend direction has been identified using the Mann-Kendall trend test, and rate calculated from the slope of the best-fit line identified from linear regression.
The 10-year trend indicates an increase of 57% in Llanelli Rural's crime risk score. This is potentially a strong signal of how the crime risk is evolving. Cross-referencing with major cultural events and Covid's impact during this time is advised.
Looking at the previous five years, the trend in Llanelli Rural's crime risk score is up by 14%. While potentially a good indicator of the overall risk trend, analysis may offer further insight when combined with the checks mentioned above.
Over the last year, Llanelli Rural's crime risk score has shown an upward trend of approximately 1.7%, indicating that the risk profile is going up. This is an extremely short time period for crime trend analysis, and caution should be exercised when interpreting this figure.
Crime Rates and Indexes
Llanelli Rural
The CrimeRate Index shows how crime rates compare against the national average.
1.0 equals the average
2.0 is double
3.0 triple
0.5 is half and
0.25 a quarter.
Highest Crime Rates
Llanelli Rural • 12 Months Ending April 2026
Excluding other crime and other theft because their geographic location is often not relevant, anti-social behaviour as its definition is too wide, and bicycle theft for its specificity.
Criminal Damage and Arson offences have a crime rate of 11 reports per 1,000 people in Llanelli Rural, which is 1.70 times the national average. This figure is calculated from 261 crime reports logged by Dyfed-Powys Police during the 12-month period ending April 2026.
For the same period, Dyfed-Powys Police recorded 98 reports of Drugs in Llanelli Rural, resulting in a crime rate of 4.01 reports per 1,000, and a CrimeRate Index of 1.30.
The crime rate for Violence and Sexual Offences is 1.29 times the national average at 39 reports per 1,000. This is from 959 crime reports reported to Dyfed-Powys Police.
Most Significant 3-Year Increases in Crime Types
Llanelli Rural
Excluding other crime and other theft, anti-social behaviour, and bicycle theft, and calculated with the same STL method described in Trends in Crime Risk, using CrimeRate Index figures to identify crime types that are trending above or below the national average, and the analysis timeframe limited to the last three years.
Vehicle Crime offences are trending upwards, though the CrimeRate Index three years ago is too low to measure, and the trend should be reviewed with caution.
Burglary offences are trending upwards, though the CrimeRate Index three years ago is too low to measure, and the trend should be reviewed with caution.
Criminal Damage and Arson offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 2.11 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Criminal Damage and Arson CrimeRate Index was 0.13 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 1523% over this timeframe.
Most Significant 3-Year Decreases in Crime Types
Llanelli Rural
Calculated with the same methodology as the largest increases section above.
Theft From the Person offences are trending downwards, though the CrimeRate Index three years ago is too low to measure, and the trend should be reviewed with caution.
Public Order offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.35 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Public Order CrimeRate Index was 0.45 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 200% over this timeframe.
Shoplifting offences are trending downwards, though the CrimeRate Index three years ago is too low to measure, and the trend should be reviewed with caution.
Crime Type Breakdown & Heat Map
Llanelli Rural • 12 Months Ending April 2026
Size and colour reflect the CrimeRate Index figures for each type of crime.
Llanelli Rural | Dyfed | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime Type | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| Anti-Social Behaviour | 224 | 9.14 | 0.65 | 4,264 | 10.14 | 0.72 | 37,683 | 10.96 | 0.78 |
| Bicycle Theft | 6 | 0.24 | 0.77 | 110 | 0.27 | 0.37 | 1,599 | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| Burglary | 78 | 3.19 | 1.02 | 1,061 | 2.53 | 0.81 | 6,704 | 1.94 | 0.62 |
| Criminal Damage and Arson | 261 | 10.66 | 1.70 | 3,215 | 7.64 | 1.22 | 21,045 | 6.12 | 0.97 |
| Drugs | 98 | 4.01 | 1.30 | 1,282 | 3.05 | 0.99 | 7,344 | 2.14 | 0.69 |
| Other Crime | 65 | 2.64 | 1.43 | 869 | 2.08 | 1.12 | 6,008 | 1.76 | 0.95 |
| Other Theft | 117 | 4.78 | 0.84 | 1,851 | 4.40 | 0.77 | 13,307 | 3.88 | 0.68 |
| Possession of Weapons | 12 | 0.48 | 0.68 | 364 | 0.87 | 1.02 | 2,296 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| Public Order | 149 | 6.10 | 1.05 | 2,654 | 6.32 | 1.09 | 23,747 | 6.91 | 1.19 |
| Robbery | 6 | 0.24 | 0.62 | 70 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 1,461 | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| Shoplifting | 48 | 1.95 | 0.27 | 1,560 | 3.70 | 0.52 | 19,180 | 5.58 | 0.78 |
| Theft From the Person | 7 | 0.28 | 0.44 | 134 | 0.32 | 0.21 | 1,019 | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| Vehicle Crime | 51 | 2.06 | 0.48 | 582 | 1.39 | 0.32 | 8,617 | 2.52 | 0.59 |
| Violence and Sexual Offences | 959 | 39.18 | 1.29 | 15,237 | 36.26 | 1.19 | 99,099 | 28.83 | 0.95 |
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Total Crime by Year
Llanelli Rural | Dyfed | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| 2026 | 1,857 | 75.81 | 1.09 | 28,989 | 68.99 | 0.96 | 211,426 | 61.53 | 0.85 |
| 2025 | 2,020 | 82.92 | 1.16 | 29,964 | 72.12 | 0.97 | 257,229 | 75.28 | 1.02 |
| 2024 | 1,096 | 44.98 | 0.74 | 15,937 | 38.53 | 0.55 | 238,672 | 70.43 | 0.93 |
| 2023 | 1,963 | 81.33 | 1.08 | 33,817 | 82.19 | 1.04 | 255,615 | 75.95 | 0.96 |
| 2022 | 1,673 | 69.75 | 0.94 | 30,384 | 74.53 | 0.97 | 245,565 | 73.85 | 0.96 |
| 2021 | 1,545 | 64.66 | 0.98 | 23,666 | 58.52 | 0.85 | 217,266 | 65.68 | 0.96 |
| 2020 | 1,460 | 61.95 | 0.88 | 23,659 | 59.27 | 0.80 | 237,502 | 72.15 | 0.97 |
| 2019 | 1,305 | 55.57 | 0.77 | 23,147 | 58.27 | 0.76 | 244,905 | 74.66 | 0.98 |
| 2018 | 1,280 | 54.57 | 0.81 | 20,593 | 51.81 | 0.73 | 218,341 | 66.57 | 0.94 |
| 2017 | 1,118 | 47.67 | 0.79 | 17,777 | 44.79 | 0.70 | 199,059 | 60.80 | 0.95 |
| 2016 | 257 | 10.96 | 0.65 | 5,220 | 13.13 | 0.69 | 61,849 | 18.94 | 0.99 |
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Llanelli Rural Compared to Nearby Small Towns
12 Months Ending Apr 2026
| Small Town | Total Crimes | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest | 2,192 | 140.74 | 86% more dangerous |
| Milford Haven | 1,996 | 125.17 | 65% more dangerous |
| Aberystwyth | 1,449 | 114.64 | 51% more dangerous |
| Carmarthen | 2,164 | 104.91 | 38% more dangerous |
| Pembroke | 783 | 95.73 | 26% more dangerous |
| Pembroke Dock | 1,134 | 96.84 | 28% more dangerous |
| Pembrey and Burry Port Town | 712 | 83.46 | 10% more dangerous |
| Llanelli Rural | 1,857 | 75.81 | - |
| Llandybie | 563 | 45.67 | 40% safer |
Comparing Llanelli Rural to the UK's Major Cities
12 Months Ending Apr 2026
| City Name | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|
| Llanelli Rural | 75.81 | - |
| Cardiff | 79.55 | 4.9% more dangerous |
| Newcastle upon Tyne | 82.69 | 9% more dangerous |
| Sheffield | 84.09 | 11% more dangerous |
| Leicester | 97.87 | 29% more dangerous |
| Bristol | 104.64 | 38% more dangerous |
| Birmingham | 105.05 | 39% more dangerous |
| Liverpool | 106.48 | 40% more dangerous |
| Leeds | 107.10 | 41% more dangerous |
| Nottingham | 107.74 | 42% more dangerous |
| Westminster | 125.00 | 65% more dangerous |
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Offences In and Around Llanelli Rural's Parks & Leisure Spaces
Limited to spaces in Llanelli Rural that are named and have had crimes recorded within their boundaries in the 12 months to Apr 2026.
| Name | ASB | Drugs | Public Order | Robbery | VSO | All Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parc Arfordirol y Mileniwm | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 |
| Parc Elin Mair | - | - | 1 | - | 1 | 3 |
| King George's Field | 3 | - | 3 | - | 16 | 5 |
| Parc Howard | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | 7 | 12 |
| Box Cemetery | 4 | 1 | - | - | 14 | 5 |
| Bynea Rugby Football Club | - | - | 1 | - | 7 | 2 |
| Coed Ffos Las | - | 1 | 1 | - | 16 | 4 |
Recent Crimes in Llanelli Rural
The 20 most recent crime reports in Llanelli Rural.
| Date | Crime Type | Location | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 2026 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Clos Bryn Haul | |
| April 2026 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Parking Area | |
| April 2026 | Burglary | On or near St Margaret'S Drive | |
| April 2026 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Edward Road | |
| April 2026 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Clos Bowen | |
| April 2026 | Drugs | On or near Llannon Road | |
| April 2026 | Other crime | On or near St Margaret'S Drive | |
| April 2026 | Public order | On or near Maes Golau | |
| April 2026 | Public order | On or near Curlew Close | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Lon Yr Eglwys | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Mor-Awel | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Ridgeway | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Penllech | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Heol Llanelli | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Llwyn Yr Eos | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Llwyn Yr Eos | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Nantwen | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Wauneos Road | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Bryncoch | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Dolwar Fach |
Methodology & Data Sources
Llanelli Rural Crime Report
Data Sources & Processing
Every month, CrimeRate processes crime reports from data.police.uk, the UK's official provider of open crime report data. Each crime report includes anonymised coordinates, most often "snapped" to the middle of the nearest street, or to the nearest major landmark. The reports also include the month and year the crime was reported, as well as the type of crime.
Data releases on data.police.uk happen once a month, with a two-month delay. This means that, for example, crimes reported in Llanelli Rural during June 2026 will typically become available in August 2026. The latest release is for Apr 2026 and was released in Jun 2026. To provide current and historical crime statistics, CrimeRate processed 61,669,232 crime reports for the latest release.
Llanelli Rural Data Points
For Llanelli Rural, CrimeRate uses the geographic boundaries provided by The Office for National Statistics in the December 2023 release of their Parishes and Non Civil Parished Areas dataset, using the PARNCP23CD column value W04000988.
Due to the 2021 Census being conducted during a UK-wide Coronavirus lockdown, the daytime population figures released so far cannot be relied on for purposes such as comparing crime rates. Instead, CrimeRate uses Llanelli Rural's daytime - or "workday" - population of 22,129 from the ONS 2011 Census for calculations throughout the site.
All geographic boundaries use the full resolution - extent of the realm versions where provided to avoid missing crime reports near coastlines and rivers - the banks of the Thames in particular - that would otherwise not be included when using the clipped to the coastline datasets.
Calculating Crime Rates
CrimeRate locates the UK region, county, and town/city/village locality for each crime report, and calculates the crime rate by taking the sum of all crime reports, dividing it by the locality's daytime / "workday" population, and multiplying the result by 1,000 to get the crime rate per 1,000.
Crime Risk Score Calculations
CrimeRate calculates crime counts for local, nearby, and wider areas for every postcode in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The postcodes locations are deduplicated by a process that ensures distinct points are approximately 50 metres apart. This process removes the bias that would otherwise come from counting the same crimes several times in heavily populated areas.
Using a custom algorithm developed in-house, CrimeRate applies a crime severity weighting to each area's crime counts, based on the type of crime reported. This increases or decreases the crime count, or zeroes it out entirely, depending on the crime type. A separate crime severity rate is then calculated, standardised, and scaled to fit the crime risk score range of 1 to 1,000, with 1 being the lowest score, and 1,000 the highest.
Crime risk scores undergo further analysis per town, city, and village plus other areas including police forces and neighbourhoods. CrimeRate uses percentiles to work out the most common range of crime risk scores in each locality. This includes identifying the high and low bounds where approximately 68% of scores fall, and finding the median (50th percentile) for easy reference.
The crime types with a weight of zero are: Anti-Social Behaviour; Bicycle Theft; Other Crime; Other Theft; and Shoplifting. The highest weights to are assigned to Violence & Sexual Offences, and the lowest to Vehicle Crime.
Frequently Asked Questions
Crime in Llanelli Rural