Crime and Safety in Caia Park
Last updated: 07 Jun 2026
Caia Park is the most dangerous small town in the preserved county of Clwyd, and is the second most dangerous overall out of Clwyd's 142 towns, villages, and cities. The overall crime rate in Caia Park in 2026 is 158 crimes per 1,000 people. This compares poorly to Clwyd's overall crime rate, coming in 123% higher than the Clwyd rate of 71 per 1,000 daytime population. For England, Wales, and Northern Ireland as a whole, Caia Park is among the top 5 most dangerous small towns, and the 104th most dangerous location out of all towns, cities, and villages.
In January 2026, Caia Park had the worst crime rate in Clwyd for shoplifting, with 47 crimes reported and a crime rate of 3.5 per 1,000 daytime population. March 2026 was also a bad month for Caia Park residents, when it was Clwyd's most dangerous area for anti-social behaviour, recording 49 crimes at a rate of 3.6 per 1,000 daytime population.
The most common crimes in Caia Park are violence and sexual offences, with 869 offences during 2026, giving a crime rate of 64. This is 0.12% higher than 2025's figure of 868 offences and a difference of 0.06 from 2025's crime rate of 64. Caia Park's least common crime is theft from the person, with 3 offences recorded in 2026, a decrease of 25% from 2025's figure of 4 crimes.
Caia Park 2026 Crime Scorecard
Most Dangerous
Small Towns, Clwyd
156% higher, regional crime rate
Wales
119% higher, national crime rate
England, Wales & NI
Local Crime in Context
As of April 2026, the crime rate in Caia Park is 156% higher than Wales and 119% higher than the England, Wales & Northern Ireland overall figure.
Caia Park Crime Rate Over Time
| Caia Park | |
| Wales | |
| England, Wales & NI |
Caia Park Crime Map
Incidents mapped in Caia Park represent the time frame between January 2016 and April 2026. Each point on the map represents an area where crimes have been recorded locally.
Use Crime Map
Hover over a point to see a breakdown of crime types recorded at that location. You can also filter by individual crime types, or use a combinations of offences to visualise the data you need.
See How Caia Park Compares
You can compare Caia Park's crime statistics against any other town, village, or city from across the country. Search for a location's name below to see how they stack up.
Introduction to Caia Park's crime statistics
This crime profile provides a detailed view of crime and safety around Caia Park up to April 2026, the most recent data release available. The crime figures and statistics have been calculated across each of Caia Park's 284 postcodes using three area sizes for comparison:
- Within a Five-Minute Walk
- Within a Ten-Minute Walk
- Within a Fifteen-Minute Walk
Individual crime risk scores and index figures are for the 12-month period ending April 2026 unless otherwise stated.
CrimeRate Insights
Looking into a specific address in Caia Park? CrimeRate Insights reports convert raw numbers into practical insight for any location, from single addresses and postcodes, up to major towns and cities.
Crime rates don’t happen by themselves; they follow people and patterns. Where crowds gather - near pubs and late-night venues, around the station, by supermarkets and forecourts - incidents naturally concentrate.
That doesn’t mean an area is "bad"; it usually means footfall is higher.
Your report explores these factors in a calm, non-judgemental way, putting the numbers in context and helping you spot what’s typical for places like this.
Crime Risk Scores
Caia Park • 12 Months Ending April 2026
The typical five-minute walk within Caia Park has a crime risk score of 778. This is based on analysis of 284 nearby areas within Caia Park, with "most" referring to roughly two thirds of the nearby locations.
Crime risk scores are on a scale of 1 to 1,000 and consider the severity of the crimes involved, as determined by sentencing guidelines. A score of 1 represents the lowest risk, and 1,000 the highest risk. This approach ensures that - unlike overall crime rate figures - bicycle theft is not given the same importance in Caia Park's risk scores as, for example, robbery, or violence & sexual offences.
Within a five-minute walk of the typical location in Caia Park, crime risk scores are typically around 778, while in Clwyd they are average 594.
Areas within a ten-minute walk typically see crime risk scores of 846 (609 for Clwyd), and scores within a fifteen-minute walk are most often around 868 (Clwyd 623).
Trends in Crime Risk
Caia Park
Calculated via Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess, the Seasonality Adjusted line represents the original data with seasonality subtracted, and the Trend line has been plotted unadjusted. Overall trend direction has been identified using the Mann-Kendall trend test, and rate calculated from the slope of the best-fit line identified from linear regression.
The 10-year trend indicates a decrease of 13% in Caia Park's crime risk score. This is potentially a strong signal of how the crime risk is evolving. Cross-referencing with major cultural events and Covid's impact during this time is advised.
Looking at the previous five years, the trend in Caia Park's crime risk score is down by 13%. While potentially a good indicator of the overall risk trend, analysis may offer further insight when combined with the checks mentioned above.
Over the last year, Caia Park's crime risk score has shown a downward trend of approximately 7%, indicating that the risk profile is going down. This is an extremely short time period for crime trend analysis, and caution should be exercised when interpreting this figure.
Crime Rates and Indexes
Caia Park
The CrimeRate Index shows how crime rates compare against the national average.
1.0 equals the average
2.0 is double
3.0 triple
0.5 is half and
0.25 a quarter.
Highest Crime Rates
Caia Park • 12 Months Ending April 2026
Excluding other crime and other theft because their geographic location is often not relevant, anti-social behaviour as its definition is too wide, and bicycle theft for its specificity.
Criminal Damage and Arson offences have a crime rate of 25 reports per 1,000 people in Caia Park, which is 3.98 times the national average. This figure is calculated from 338 crime reports logged by North Wales Police during the 12-month period ending April 2026.
For the same period, North Wales Police recorded 359 reports of Shoplifting in Caia Park, resulting in a crime rate of 27 reports per 1,000, and a CrimeRate Index of 3.73.
The crime rate for Violence and Sexual Offences is 2.11 times the national average at 64 reports per 1,000. This is from 869 crime reports reported to North Wales Police.
Most Significant 3-Year Increases in Crime Types
Caia Park
Excluding other crime and other theft, anti-social behaviour, and bicycle theft, and calculated with the same STL method described in Trends in Crime Risk, using CrimeRate Index figures to identify crime types that are trending above or below the national average, and the analysis timeframe limited to the last three years.
Vehicle Crime offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.69 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Vehicle Crime CrimeRate Index was 0.50 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 238% over this timeframe.
Drugs offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 2.91 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Drugs CrimeRate Index was 1.05 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 177% over this timeframe.
Burglary offences are trending upwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.83 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Burglary CrimeRate Index was 2.23 times the national average, and the current trend indicates an increase of 18% over this timeframe.
Most Significant 3-Year Decreases in Crime Types
Caia Park
Calculated with the same methodology as the largest increases section above.
Violence and Sexual Offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 2.36 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Violence and Sexual Offences CrimeRate Index was 2.63 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 10% over this timeframe.
Public Order offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.40 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Public Order CrimeRate Index was 1.88 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 26% over this timeframe.
Shoplifting offences are trending downwards, and have a CrimeRate Index of 1.45 for the month of April 2026.
Three years ago, the monthly Shoplifting CrimeRate Index was 3.74 times the national average, and the current trend indicates a decrease of 61% over this timeframe.
Crime Type Breakdown & Heat Map
Caia Park • 12 Months Ending April 2026
Size and colour reflect the CrimeRate Index figures for each type of crime.
Caia Park | Clwyd | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime Type | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| Anti-Social Behaviour | 426 | 31.49 | 2.23 | 9,603 | 17.43 | 1.23 | 37,683 | 10.96 | 0.78 |
| Bicycle Theft | 15 | 1.08 | 1.96 | 246 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 1,599 | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| Burglary | 87 | 6.44 | 2.06 | 1,275 | 2.32 | 0.74 | 6,704 | 1.94 | 0.62 |
| Criminal Damage and Arson | 338 | 25.00 | 3.98 | 4,017 | 7.30 | 1.16 | 21,045 | 6.12 | 0.97 |
| Drugs | 57 | 4.23 | 1.37 | 1,169 | 2.11 | 0.68 | 7,344 | 2.14 | 0.69 |
| Other Crime | 58 | 4.29 | 2.32 | 907 | 1.65 | 0.89 | 6,008 | 1.76 | 0.95 |
| Other Theft | 107 | 7.91 | 1.39 | 2,656 | 4.82 | 0.85 | 13,307 | 3.88 | 0.68 |
| Possession of Weapons | 16 | 1.17 | 1.80 | 375 | 0.68 | 0.80 | 2,296 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| Public Order | 140 | 10.35 | 1.78 | 3,281 | 5.96 | 1.03 | 23,747 | 6.91 | 1.19 |
| Robbery | 11 | 0.79 | 1.13 | 157 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1,461 | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| Shoplifting | 359 | 26.56 | 3.73 | 4,123 | 7.47 | 1.05 | 19,180 | 5.58 | 0.78 |
| Theft From the Person | 3 | 0.21 | 0.51 | 80 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 1,019 | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| Vehicle Crime | 70 | 5.21 | 1.21 | 931 | 1.70 | 0.40 | 8,617 | 2.52 | 0.59 |
| Violence and Sexual Offences | 869 | 64.27 | 2.11 | 19,748 | 35.83 | 1.18 | 99,099 | 28.83 | 0.95 |
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Total Crime by Year
Caia Park | Clwyd | Wales | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index | Count | Rate | Index |
| 2026 | 2,130 | 157.51 | 2.25 | 38,965 | 70.76 | 0.98 | 211,426 | 61.53 | 0.85 |
| 2025 | 2,203 | 163.43 | 2.27 | 40,763 | 74.45 | 1.01 | 257,229 | 75.28 | 1.02 |
| 2024 | 2,350 | 175.27 | 2.44 | 41,127 | 75.38 | 1.00 | 238,672 | 70.43 | 0.93 |
| 2023 | 2,853 | 215.12 | 2.76 | 46,483 | 85.63 | 1.08 | 255,615 | 75.95 | 0.96 |
| 2022 | 2,592 | 198.11 | 2.64 | 46,578 | 86.21 | 1.12 | 245,565 | 73.85 | 0.96 |
| 2021 | 2,448 | 184.51 | 2.78 | 40,375 | 74.82 | 1.09 | 217,266 | 65.68 | 0.96 |
| 2020 | 2,398 | 180.27 | 2.47 | 42,825 | 79.76 | 1.08 | 237,502 | 72.15 | 0.97 |
| 2019 | 2,764 | 208.14 | 2.79 | 45,213 | 84.47 | 1.11 | 244,905 | 74.66 | 0.98 |
| 2018 | 2,608 | 196.15 | 2.80 | 38,904 | 72.78 | 1.02 | 218,341 | 66.57 | 0.94 |
| 2017 | 2,224 | 165.88 | 2.65 | 30,730 | 57.52 | 0.90 | 199,059 | 60.80 | 0.95 |
| 2016 | 665 | 49.39 | 2.66 | 9,689 | 18.13 | 0.95 | 61,849 | 18.94 | 0.99 |
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Caia Park Compared to Nearby Small Towns
12 Months Ending Apr 2026
| Small Town | Total Crimes | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caia Park | 2,130 | 157.51 | - |
| Offa | 2,014 | 134.22 | 15% safer |
| Kinmel Bay and Towyn | 853 | 104.25 | 34% safer |
| Llandudno | 2,441 | 112.95 | 28% safer |
| Colwyn Bay | 1,274 | 94.91 | 40% safer |
| Flint | 1,276 | 87.59 | 44% safer |
| Holywell | 864 | 86.33 | 45% safer |
Comparing Caia Park to the UK's Major Cities
12 Months Ending Apr 2026
| City Name | Crime Rate | Rate Difference |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 79.55 | 49% safer |
| Newcastle upon Tyne | 82.69 | 48% safer |
| Sheffield | 84.09 | 47% safer |
| Leicester | 97.87 | 38% safer |
| Bristol | 104.64 | 34% safer |
| Birmingham | 105.05 | 33% safer |
| Liverpool | 106.48 | 32% safer |
| Leeds | 107.10 | 32% safer |
| Nottingham | 107.74 | 32% safer |
| Westminster | 125.00 | 21% safer |
| Caia Park | 157.51 | - |
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Offences In and Around Caia Park's Parks & Leisure Spaces
Limited to spaces in Caia Park that are named and have had crimes recorded within their boundaries in the 12 months to Apr 2026.
| Name | ASB | Drugs | Public Order | Robbery | VSO | All Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardd Hedd y Crofft | 9 | - | 1 | - | 12 | 14 |
| Queensway Sports Complex | 8 | - | - | 1 | 8 | 14 |
| Erddig Country Park | 14 | 2 | 1 | - | 24 | 9 |
| Smithfield Community Garden | 4 | 3 | 3 | - | 19 | 9 |
Recent Crimes in Caia Park
The 20 most recent crime reports in Caia Park.
| Date | Crime Type | Location | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 2026 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Wyndham Gardens | |
| April 2026 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Parking Area | |
| April 2026 | Anti-social behaviour | On or near Shopping Area | |
| April 2026 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Supermarket | |
| April 2026 | Criminal damage and arson | On or near Supermarket | |
| April 2026 | Drugs | On or near Coed-Y-Bryn | |
| April 2026 | Drugs | On or near Hillrise | |
| April 2026 | Public order | On or near Parking Area | |
| April 2026 | Robbery | On or near Sports/Recreation Area | |
| April 2026 | Vehicle crime | On or near Mill View | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Parking Area | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Parking Area | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Parking Area | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Parking Area | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Pentre Gwyn | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Pentre Gwyn | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Parking Area | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Wyndham Gardens | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Parking Area | |
| April 2026 | Violence and sexual offences | On or near Parking Area |
Methodology & Data Sources
Caia Park Crime Report
Data Sources & Processing
Every month, CrimeRate processes crime reports from data.police.uk, the UK's official provider of open crime report data. Each crime report includes anonymised coordinates, most often "snapped" to the middle of the nearest street, or to the nearest major landmark. The reports also include the month and year the crime was reported, as well as the type of crime.
Data releases on data.police.uk happen once a month, with a two-month delay. This means that, for example, crimes reported in Caia Park during July 2026 will typically become available in September 2026. The latest release is for Apr 2026 and was released in Jun 2026. To provide current and historical crime statistics, CrimeRate processed 61,669,232 crime reports for the latest release.
Caia Park Data Points
For Caia Park, CrimeRate uses the geographic boundaries provided by The Office for National Statistics in the December 2023 release of their Parishes and Non Civil Parished Areas dataset, using the PARNCP23CD column value W04001056.
Due to the 2021 Census being conducted during a UK-wide Coronavirus lockdown, the daytime population figures released so far cannot be relied on for purposes such as comparing crime rates. Instead, CrimeRate uses Caia Park's daytime - or "workday" - population of 12,100 from the ONS 2011 Census for calculations throughout the site.
All geographic boundaries use the full resolution - extent of the realm versions where provided to avoid missing crime reports near coastlines and rivers - the banks of the Thames in particular - that would otherwise not be included when using the clipped to the coastline datasets.
Calculating Crime Rates
CrimeRate locates the UK region, county, and town/city/village locality for each crime report, and calculates the crime rate by taking the sum of all crime reports, dividing it by the locality's daytime / "workday" population, and multiplying the result by 1,000 to get the crime rate per 1,000.
Crime Risk Score Calculations
CrimeRate calculates crime counts for local, nearby, and wider areas for every postcode in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The postcodes locations are deduplicated by a process that ensures distinct points are approximately 50 metres apart. This process removes the bias that would otherwise come from counting the same crimes several times in heavily populated areas.
Using a custom algorithm developed in-house, CrimeRate applies a crime severity weighting to each area's crime counts, based on the type of crime reported. This increases or decreases the crime count, or zeroes it out entirely, depending on the crime type. A separate crime severity rate is then calculated, standardised, and scaled to fit the crime risk score range of 1 to 1,000, with 1 being the lowest score, and 1,000 the highest.
Crime risk scores undergo further analysis per town, city, and village plus other areas including police forces and neighbourhoods. CrimeRate uses percentiles to work out the most common range of crime risk scores in each locality. This includes identifying the high and low bounds where approximately 68% of scores fall, and finding the median (50th percentile) for easy reference.
The crime types with a weight of zero are: Anti-Social Behaviour; Bicycle Theft; Other Crime; Other Theft; and Shoplifting. The highest weights to are assigned to Violence & Sexual Offences, and the lowest to Vehicle Crime.
Frequently Asked Questions
Crime in Caia Park